Club Friendlies 3
Feb 9, 2026 12.00am
Slavutych-Arena

Zorya Luhansk vs Gagra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 29, 2026 12.00pm
Rapid Wien II 1 - 5 Luhansk

Gagra

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 48.32%. A draw has a probability of 26.69% and a win for Gagra has a probability of 24.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.28%) , while for a Gagra win it is 0-1 (7.74%).

Result

Zorya Luhansk 48.32% (-0.01)
Draw 26.69% (-0.02)
Gagra 24.99% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.21% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.61% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 29.39% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 46.18% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 53.82% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 24.87% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 75.13% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 13.68% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.32% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Zorya Luhansk 34.35% (-0.01)
Draw 45.77% (+0.02)
Gagra 19.87%

Team To Score First

Zorya Luhansk 57.09% (+0.25)
No Goal 8.95% (+0.01)
Gagra 33.96% (-0.26)

Corners

Over 8 55% (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.92% (-0.02)
Under 8 33.07% (+0.19)
Over 9 43.12% (-0.16)
Equal 9 11.89% (-0.03)
Under 9 45% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 32.26% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 67.74% (+0.11)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 1.5 42.84% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 57.16% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 18.15% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 81.85% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.41% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.59% (-0.01)

Gagra Goals

Over 0.5 59.5% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 40.5% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 25.27% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 74.73% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.98% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 92.02% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.27%
Under 3.5 97.73%

Score analysis

Zorya Luhansk 48.3%
Draw 26.69%
Gagra 24.99%
Zorya Luhansk
1-0 @ 12.68%
2-1 @ 9.72%
2-0 @ 8.45% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.4% (+0.02)
Total : 48.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.95% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.69%
Gagra
0-1 @ 7.74% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.26%
0-2 @ 3.71% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.32% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 24.99%