Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 48.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.69% and a win for Gagra had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%) , while for a Gagra win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.