Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radnik Surdulica win with a probability of 47.39%. A draw had a probability of 28.01% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radnik Surdulica win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%) , while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.