Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sogndal win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sogndal win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 1-2 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.