Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Daejeon Citizen win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Sogndal had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Daejeon Citizen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Sogndal win was 2-1 (7.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.