Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 20
Mar 13, 2026 11.00am
Stadion Zirka

SK Poltava vs Karpaty Lviv - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

SK Poltava

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 11.00am
Luhansk 4 - 0 SK Poltava
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Danyil Sukhoruchko

Karpaty Lviv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 1.30pm
Karpaty 1 - 1 Kudrivka
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Ihor Krasnopir

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw has a probability of 26.54% and a win for SK Poltava has a probability of 24.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.25%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12%) , while for a SK Poltava win it is 1-0 (8.14%).

Result

SK Poltava 24.43% (-0.06)
Draw 26.54%
Karpaty Lviv 48.98% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.8% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.21% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 30.79% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 43.99% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 56.01% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 23.09% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 76.91% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 12.65% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.35% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

SK Poltava 21.03%
Draw 42.71%
Karpaty Lviv 36.26%

Team To Score First

SK Poltava 32.77% (-0.01)
No Goal 9.42% (+0.02)
Karpaty Lviv 57.81% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 45.6% (-0.01)
Equal 8 12.21% (+0.06)
Under 8 42.2% (-0.03)
Over 9 34.3% (-0.07)
Equal 9 11.3% (+0.05)
Under 9 54.4% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 24.67% (-0.10)
Under 10.5 75.33% (+0.10)

SK Poltava Goals

Over 1.5 23.44% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 76.56% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 7.38% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 92.62% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.93% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.07% (+0.01)

Karpaty Lviv Goals

Over 0.5 75.32% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 24.68% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 42.35% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 57.65% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 18.31% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 81.69% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.64%
Under 3.5 93.36%

Score analysis

SK Poltava 24.44%
Draw 26.55%
Karpaty Lviv 48.98%
SK Poltava
1-0 @ 8.14% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.82% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.95% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.95% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.44%
3-0 @ 1.32% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.82% (-0.02)
Total : 24.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 9.42% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.55%
Karpaty Lviv
0-1 @ 13.2% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 9.25% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.07%
0-3 @ 4.69% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.23%
2-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 6.53%
Total : 48.98%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
Sep 14, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT