Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.54% and a win for SK Poltava had a probability of 24.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%) , while for a SK Poltava win it was 1-0 (8.14%).