Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 24
Apr 20, 2026 4.00pm
Arena L'viv

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polissya Zhytomyr - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Apr 13, 2026 11.00am
Cherkasy 2 - 2 Shakhtar
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Lassina Traoré

Polissya Zhytomyr

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 11.00am
SK Poltava 0 - 4 Polissya
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Oleksiy Gutsulyak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 48.06%. A draw has a probability of 26.21% and a win for Polissya Zhytomyr has a probability of 25.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.19%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.39%) , while for a Polissya Zhytomyr win it is 1-2 (7%).

Result

Shakhtar Donetsk 48.06% (+0.24)
Draw 26.21% (+0.84)
Polissya Zhytomyr 25.78% (-1.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.54% (-0.51)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.32% (-1.25)
Under 1.5 24.68% (+1.24)
Over 2.5 51.23% (-1.81)
Under 2.5 48.77% (+1.81)
Over 3.5 27.8% (-1.24)
Under 3.5 72.2% (+1.25)
Over 4.5 15.6% (-0.94)
Under 4.5 84.4% (+0.94)

First Half Winner

Shakhtar Donetsk 34.13% (-0.51)
Draw 41.2% (+1.86)
Polissya Zhytomyr 24.67% (-1.34)

Team To Score First

Shakhtar Donetsk 57.84% (+4.43)
No Goal 7.12% (+0.46)
Polissya Zhytomyr 35.04% (-4.87)

Corners

Over 8 46.84% (-2.93)
Equal 8 12.04% (+0.06)
Under 8 41.12% (+2.88)
Over 9 35.58% (-2.72)
Equal 9 11.26% (-0.22)
Under 9 53.16% (+2.93)
Over 10.5 25.88% (-2.33)
Under 10.5 74.12% (+2.33)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 1.5 45.63% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 54.37% (+0.65)
Over 2.5 20.41% (-0.54)
Under 2.5 79.59% (+0.54)
Over 3.5 7.45% (-0.39)
Under 3.5 92.55% (+0.40)

Polissya Zhytomyr Goals

Over 0.5 62.29% (-0.68)
Under 0.5 37.71% (+0.68)
Over 1.5 28.28% (-1.44)
Under 1.5 71.72% (+1.44)
Over 2.5 9.68% (-0.85)
Under 2.5 90.32% (+0.85)
Over 3.5 2.96% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 97.04% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 48.05%
Draw 26.2%
Polissya Zhytomyr 25.78%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 10.79% (+0.58)
2-1 @ 10.19% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.04% (+0.28)
3-1 @ 4.63% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.11)
Other @ 7.21% (-0.49)
Total : 48.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.39% (+0.47)
0-0 @ 7.12% (+0.46)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.19)
3-3 @ 1.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.24% (+0.09)
Total : 26.2%
Polissya Zhytomyr
1-2 @ 7% (-0.17)
0-1 @ 6.8% (+0.25)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.23)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.20)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.29)
Other @ 2.72% (-0.25)
Total : 25.78%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
Oct 18, 2025 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 15, 2024 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tsentralnyi Stadion
  • Matej Matic 13' yellowcard
  • Lucas Taylor 48' yellowcard
  • Eduard Sarapiy 60' yellowcard
  • Bogdan Mykhaylichenko 90' goal
  • Admir Bristric 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Admir Bristric 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dmytro Kryskiv 62'
  • yellowcard Danylo Sikan 90'+2'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 11, 2024 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Olimpiysky National Sports Complex
  • Kevin 90'+12' yellowcard
  • goal Sergiy Chobotenko 35'
  • yellowcard Oleksiy Hutsuliak 65'
  • yellowcard Bogdan Mykhaylichenko 72'
  • yellowcard Evgeniy Volynets 90'+12'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 30
May 25, 2024 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Tsentralnyi Stadion
  • Pedrinho 27' goal
  • Luifer Hernandez 29' goal
  • Yassin Fortune 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin 90'+4'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 15
Nov 24, 2023 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
  • Heorhiy Sudakov 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vladyslav Shapoval 10'
  • yellowcard Arielson 80'
  • yellowcard Vyacheslav Tankovskiy 82'
  • redcard Vyacheslav Tankovskiy 90'+2'