Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 47.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.19% and a win for Polissya Zhytomyr had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.08%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%) , while for a Polissya Zhytomyr win it was 1-2 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.