Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.06% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 14.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%) , while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.