Ukrainian Premier League
Apr 5, 2026 1.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Obolon' Arena
  • Vladyslav Pryimak 36' goal
  • R. Volokhatyi 60' goal
  • Yegor Prokopenko 71' yellowcard
  • Oleg Slobodyan 71' yellowcard
  • Taras Lyakh 78' yellowcard
  • Pavlo Polegenko 78' yellowcard
  • Taras Lyakh 84' goal
  • Kostyantyn Bychek 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Roman Vantukh 6'
  • goal Igor Perduta 51'
  • yellowcard Pylyp Budkivskyi 65'
  • yellowcard Fedir Zadorozhnyi 81'

Obolon Kyiv vs Zorya Luhansk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Obolon Kyiv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 4.00pm
Karpaty 4 - 0 Obolon
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Denys Ustymenko

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 12.00am
Luhansk 0 - 0 Shakhtar
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Nemanja Anđušić

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Obolon Kyiv win was 1-0 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result

Obolon Kyiv 26.57% (+0.22)
Draw 26.29% (+0.02)
Zorya Luhansk 47.14% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.76% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.56% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 26.44% (+0.23)
Over 2.5 49.45% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 50.55% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 28.1% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 71.9% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 15.81% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 84.19% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Obolon Kyiv 23.16% (-0.08)
Draw 42.46% (+0.15)
Zorya Luhansk 34.39% (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Obolon Kyiv 36.68% (-0.10)
No Goal 8% (+0.06)
Zorya Luhansk 55.32% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 51.9% (-1.21)
Equal 8 11.99% (-0.09)
Under 8 36.11% (+1.29)
Over 9 40.24% (-1.00)
Equal 9 11.67% (-0.19)
Under 9 48.1% (+1.21)
Over 10.5 29.81% (-0.77)
Under 10.5 70.19% (+0.76)

Obolon Kyiv Goals

Over 1.5 27.92% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 72.08% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 9.79% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.21% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.75% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.25% (+0.02)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5 76.26% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 23.74% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 44.53% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 55.47% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 20.25% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 79.75% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 7.73% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 92.27% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Obolon Kyiv 26.57%
Draw 26.29%
Zorya Luhansk 47.15%
Obolon Kyiv
1-0 @ 7.57% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 6.37% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.09% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.54% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91%
3-0 @ 1.54% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.55% (+0.01)
Total : 26.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 8% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.2% (-0.02)
Total : 26.29%
Zorya Luhansk
0-1 @ 10.88% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 8.08% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 4.65% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 4.25% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.53% (-0.13)
Total : 47.15%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
Sep 27, 2025 1.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 20
Mar 7, 2025 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky
  • Petar Micin 43' goal
  • Artem Slesar 53' yellowcard
  • Petar Micin 62' goal
  • Dejan Popara 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruslan Chernenko 26'
  • goal Danylo Karas 69'
  • yellowcard Danylo Karas 84'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 5
Aug 30, 2024 1.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Obolon' Arena
  • Valerii Dubko 58' yellowcard
  • Valerii Dubko 62' redcard
  • goal Petar Micin 19'
  • yellowcard Pylyp Budkivskyi 48'
  • goal Pylyp Budkivskyi 52'
  • yellowcard Benito 69'
  • yellowcard Kyrylo Dryshliuk 85'
  • yellowcard Zan Trontelj 90'+2'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 26
Apr 28, 2024 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Livyi Bereh
  • Jakov Basic 73' yellowcard
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 20, 2023 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 2 2
FT Obolon' Arena
  • Sergiy Sukhanov 20' goal
  • Egor Prokopenko 25' yellowcard
  • Sergiy Sukhanov 28' goal
  • Valerii Dubko 41' yellowcard
  • goal Eduardo Guerrero 5'
  • yellowcard Kodjo Aziangbe 24'
  • goal Eduardo Guerrero 38'
  • yellowcard Arseniy Batagov 72'
  • goal Arseniy Batagov 74'
  • yellowcard Jordan 77'
  • goal Denis Antyukh 88'