Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Obolon Kyiv win was 1-0 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.