Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.68% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%) , while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 0-1 (8%).