Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 21
Mar 22, 2026 4.00pm
Stadion Ukrajina

Karpaty Lviv vs Obolon Kyiv - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Karpaty Lviv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 11.00am
SK Poltava 0 - 4 Karpaty
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Yan Kostenko

Obolon Kyiv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 4.00pm
Dynamo Kiev 2 - 1 Obolon
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Denys Ustymenko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 52.34%. A draw has a probability of 26.63% and a win for Obolon Kyiv has a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.19%) , while for a Obolon Kyiv win it is 0-1 (7.97%).

Result

Karpaty Lviv 52.34%
Draw 26.63%
Obolon Kyiv 21.03%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.85%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.48% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 31.52% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 43.2% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 56.8% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 22.21% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 77.79% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 12.11% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 87.89% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Karpaty Lviv 35.18%
Draw 43.12%
Obolon Kyiv 21.7%

Team To Score First

Karpaty Lviv 55.85%
No Goal 9.74% (+0.01)
Obolon Kyiv 34.41% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.91%
Equal 8 12.04%
Under 8 35.05%
Over 9 41.1%
Equal 9 11.81%
Under 9 47.09%
Over 10.5 30.47%
Under 10.5 69.53%

Karpaty Lviv Goals

Over 1.5 44.23% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 55.77% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 19.61% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.39% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.77% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.23% (+0.04)

Obolon Kyiv Goals

Over 0.5 54.79% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 45.21% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 20.26% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 79.74% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 5.11% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 94.89% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.26% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.74% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Karpaty Lviv 52.34%
Draw 26.64%
Obolon Kyiv 21.03%
Karpaty Lviv
1-0 @ 13.82% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.82% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.7% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.08% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.76% (-0.04)
Total : 52.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 9.74% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.64%
Obolon Kyiv
0-1 @ 7.97% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.3% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.25% (-0.03)
Total : 21.03%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
Sep 22, 2025 11.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 26
Apr 26, 2025 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Obolon' Arena
  • Petro Stasyuk 20' goal
  • Petro Stasyuk 20' goal
  • Vasil Kurko 26' yellowcard
  • Danylo Karas 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Vadym Vitenchuk 62' yellowcard
  • Rostyslav Taranukha 81' goal
  • goal Vladyslav Pryymak 28'
  • yellowcard Ambrosiy Chachua 45'+2'
  • goal Igor Neves Alves 90'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2024 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Ukrajina
  • Vladislav Klymenko 8' yellowcard
  • Bruninho 10' goal
  • Jean Pedroso 14' yellowcard
  • Ambrosiy Chachua 70' yellowcard
  • Artur Ryabov 87' yellowcard
  • Artur Ryabov 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vadym Vitenchuk 18'
  • yellowcard Sergiy Sukhanov 47'