Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Obolon Kyiv win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Obolon Kyiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 0-1 (10.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.