Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kolos Kovalivka win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 29.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kolos Kovalivka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 (11.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.