Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 1-0 (9.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.