Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win was 0-1 (8.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.