Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 81.83%. A draw had a probability of 12.71% and a win for Kudrivka had a probability of 5.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.94%) and 0-1 (11.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.07%) , while for a Kudrivka win it was 1-0 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.