Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.14% and a win for Kudrivka had a probability of 17.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (11.08%) and 2-0 (10.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%) , while for a Kudrivka win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.