Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.98% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 15.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 1-2 (10.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%) , while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.