Premier League Gameweek 36
May 9, 2026 5.30pm
Etihad Stadium

Manchester City vs Brentford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2026 8.00pm
Everton 3 - 3 Man City
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Erling Haaland

Brentford

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Brentford 3 - 0 West Ham
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Igor Thiago

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 67.83%. A draw has a probability of 19.11% and a win for Brentford has a probability of 13.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.73%) , while for a Brentford win it is 0-1 (3.81%).

Result

Manchester City 67.83% (-1.50)
Draw 19.11% (+0.54)
Brentford 13.05% (+0.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.19% (+0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.85% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 20.15% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 58.05% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 41.95% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 36.44% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 63.56% (+0.34)
Over 4.5 24.28% (-0.53)
Under 4.5 75.72% (+0.54)

First Half Winner

Manchester City 54.06% (-0.87)
Draw 32.07% (+0.56)
Brentford 13.88% (+0.33)

Team To Score First

Manchester City 67.92% (-0.74)
No Goal 5.21% (+0.05)
Brentford 26.87% (+0.70)

Corners

Over 8 66.89% (-0.44)
Equal 8 10.7% (+0.09)
Under 8 22.41% (+0.36)
Over 9 55.13% (-0.48)
Equal 9 11.76% (+0.05)
Under 9 33.11% (+0.44)
Over 10.5 43.39% (-0.48)
Under 10.5 56.61% (+0.48)

Manchester City Goals

Over 1.5 63.08% (-1.07)
Under 1.5 36.92% (+1.07)
Over 2.5 36.45% (-1.15)
Under 2.5 63.55% (+1.15)
Over 3.5 17.47% (-0.86)
Under 3.5 82.53% (+0.86)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 47.16% (+1.48)
Under 0.5 52.84% (-1.48)
Over 1.5 17.87% (+1.07)
Under 1.5 82.13% (-1.07)
Over 2.5 5.03% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 94.97% (-0.49)
Over 3.5 1.26% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 98.74% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Manchester City 67.83%
Draw 19.12%
Brentford 13.05%
Manchester City
2-0 @ 11.44% (-0.29)
1-0 @ 11.13% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.89% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 7.68% (-0.32)
3-1 @ 6.86% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.45% (+0.06)
Other @ 17.38% (-0.90)
Total : 67.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.73% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 5.21% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.1% (+0.18)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.03)
Total : 19.12%
Brentford
0-1 @ 3.81% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 3.67% (+0.24)
0-2 @ 1.62% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 1.21% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.2% (+0.09)
Other @ 1.17% (+0.14)
Total : 13.05%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Dec 17, 2025 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Abdukodir Khusanov 16' yellowcard
  • Rayan Cherki 32' goal
  • Savio 67' goal
  • Matheus Nunes 86' yellowcard
  • Matheus Nunes 87' yellowcard
Premier League
Oct 5, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 21
Jan 14, 2025 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Brentford Community Stadium
  • Yoane Wissa 82' goal
  • Christian Norgaard 90'+2' goal
  • goal Phil Foden 66'
  • goal Phil Foden 78'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Erling Haaland 19' goal
  • Erling Haaland 32' goal
  • Mateo Kovacic 42' yellowcard
  • Savio 47' yellowcard
  • John Stones 79' yellowcard
  • goal Yoane Wissa 1'
  • yellowcard Nathan Collins 82'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Feb 20, 2024 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • John Stones 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Erling Haaland 71' goal
  • Kyle Walker 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Mee 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Yoane Wissa 60'
  • yellowcard Ivan Toney 68'
  • yellowcard Mark Flekken 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2024 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Brentford Community Stadium
  • Neal Maupay 21' goal
  • Neal Maupay 31' yellowcard
  • goal Phil Foden 45'+3'
  • goal Phil Foden 53'
  • goal Phil Foden 70'