Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Everton had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.