Premier League Gameweek 34
Apr 22, 2026 8.00pm
Turf Moor

Burnley vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Burnley 0 - 2 Brighton
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 4.30pm
Chelsea 0 - 3 Man City
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Phil Foden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 64.83%. A draw has a probability of 21.08% and a win for Burnley has a probability of 14.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.63%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.87%) , while for a Burnley win it is 1-0 (4.94%).

Result

Burnley 14.06%
Draw 21.08%
Manchester City 64.83%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.73%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.77%
Under 1.5 26.23%
Over 2.5 50.36%
Under 2.5 49.64%
Over 3.5 28.9%
Under 3.5 71.1%
Over 4.5 18.23%
Under 4.5 81.77%

First Half Winner

Burnley 16.44%
Draw 34.6%
Manchester City 48.96%

Team To Score First

Burnley 25.92%
No Goal 7.91%
Manchester City 66.17%

Corners

Over 8 54.94%
Equal 8 11.52%
Under 8 33.53%
Over 9 43.47%
Equal 9 11.47%
Under 9 45.06%
Over 10.5 32.97%
Under 10.5 67.03%

Burnley Goals

Over 1.5 16.27%
Under 1.5 83.73%
Over 2.5 4.47%
Under 2.5 95.53%
Over 3.5 1.02%
Under 3.5 98.98%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 83.71%
Under 0.5 16.29%
Over 1.5 56.78%
Under 1.5 43.22%
Over 2.5 30.03%
Under 2.5 69.97%
Over 3.5 12.66%
Under 3.5 87.34%

Score analysis

Burnley 14.07%
Draw 21.09%
Manchester City 64.82%
Burnley
1-0 @ 4.94%
2-1 @ 3.55%
2-0 @ 1.9%
3-1 @ 1.15%
3-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 14.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.87%
0-0 @ 7.91%
2-2 @ 3.52%
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 21.09%
Manchester City
0-1 @ 13.36%
0-2 @ 12.63%
1-2 @ 9.59%
0-3 @ 7.78%
1-3 @ 6.01%
2-3 @ 2.83%
Other @ 12.62%
Total : 64.82%

Head to Head

Premier League
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 22
Jan 31, 2024 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Julian Alvarez 16' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 22' goal
  • Rodri 46' goal
  • Ederson 75' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Doku 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hjalmar Ekdal 21'
  • yellowcard Connor Roberts 75'
  • goal Ameen Al Dakhil 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2023 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Turf Moor
  • Anass Zaroury 90'+4' redcard
  • goal Erling Haaland 4'
  • goal Erling Haaland 36'
  • goal Rodri 75'
  • yellowcard Pep Guardiola 75'
FA Cup
Mar 18, 2023 5.45pm
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Erling Braut Haaland 32' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 35' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 59' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 62' goal
  • Cole Palmer 68' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 73' goal
Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Wout Weghorst 13' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 5'
  • goal Ilkay Gundogan 25'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Oct 16, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bernardo Silva 12' goal
  • Aymeric Laporte 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Kevin De Bruyne 70' goal