Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 64.83%. A draw has a probability of 21.08% and a win for Burnley has a probability of 14.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.63%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.87%) , while for a Burnley win it is 1-0 (4.94%).