Burnley vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 65.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.13% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 13.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.69%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%) , while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood.