Premier League
Burnley
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Turf Moor
Brighton
  • Jacob Bruun Larsen 67' yellowcard
  • Mike Tresor 75' yellowcard
  • Armando Broja 82' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pires 82' yellowcard
  • Kyle Walker 82' yellowcard
  • goal Mats Wieffer 43'
  • yellowcard Carlos Baleba 75'
  • yellowcard Georginio Rutter 75'
  • yellowcard Kaoru Mitoma 80'
  • yellowcard Kaoru Mitoma 81'
  • yellowcard Joël Veltman 88'
  • goal Mats Wieffer 89'

Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Fulham 3 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 12.45pm
Brighton 2 - 1 Liverpool
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Danny Welbeck

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.32% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%) , while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

Burnley 24.44%
Draw 25.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Brighton & Hove Albion 50.28% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.23% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 27.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 48.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 51.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 26.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 73.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.98% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Burnley 23.98%
Draw 40.63%
Brighton & Hove Albion 35.39%

Team To Score First

Burnley 37.4%
No Goal 7.79% ▲ (+0.05)
Brighton & Hove Albion 54.81% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 61.19% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 8 11.52%
Under 8 27.3% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 9 49.1% ▼ (-0.06)
Equal 9 12.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 38.81% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 10.5 37.53% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 10.5 62.47% ▲ (+0.05)

Burnley Goals

Over 1.5 25.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 74.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.37%
Under 3.5 97.63%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 77.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 22.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 45.9%
Under 1.5 54.1%
Over 2.5 20.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.35%
Under 3.5 92.65%

Score analysis

Burnley 24.44%
Draw 25.31%
Brighton & Hove Albion 50.27%
Burnley
1-0 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.19%
3-2 @ 1.7%
3-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 24.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 25.31%
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-1 @ 11.99% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.55%
0-2 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7%
Other @ 7.31%
Total : 50.27%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 20
Brighton
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Burnley
  • Georginio Rutter 29' goal
  • Yasin Ayari 47' goal
  • Maxim De Cuyper 70' yellowcard
  • Pascal Groß 71' yellowcard
  • Danny Welbeck 71' yellowcard
  • James Milner 80' yellowcard
  • Tom Watson 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oliver Sonne 55'
  • yellowcard Marcus Edwards 55'
  • yellowcard Loum Tchaouna 64'
  • yellowcard Jaydon Banel 81'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Burnley
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
Brighton
  • Josh Cullen 28' yellowcard
  • Josh Brownhill 74' goal
  • goal Arijanet Muric 79' (OG)
  • yellowcard Joel Veltman 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Mark O'Mahony 90'+7'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Brighton
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Burnley
  • Simon Adingra 77' goal
  • yellowcard Dara O'Shea 14'
  • goal Wilson Odobert 45'
  • yellowcard Charlie Taylor 66'
  • yellowcard Wilson Odobert 72'
  • yellowcard Nathan Redmond 86'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Brighton
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Burnley
  • Shane Duffy 84' yellowcard
  • goal Wout Weghorst 21'
  • yellowcard Jack Cork 25'
  • goal Josh Brownhill 40'
  • yellowcard Connor Roberts 59'
  • yellowcard Aaron Lennon 61'
  • goal Aaron Lennon 69'
  • yellowcard Josh Brownhill 87'
Premier League Gameweek 1
Burnley
Aug 14, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Brighton
  • James Tarkowski 2' goal
  • Johann Berg Gudmundsson 9' yellowcard
  • James Tarkowski 13' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Neal Maupay 26'
  • goal Neal Maupay 73'
  • goal Alexis Mac Allister 78'
Premier League Gameweek 23
Burnley
Feb 6, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Brighton
  • Ben Mee 19' yellowcard
  • Johann Berg Gudmundsson 28' yellowcard
  • Johann Berg Gudmundsson 53' goal
  • goal Lewis Dunk 36'

Form Data

Fulham 3 - 1 Burnley
Burnley 0 - 0 Bournemouth
Everton 2 - 0 Burnley
Burnley 3 - 4 Brentford
Chelsea 1 - 1 Burnley
Burnley 1 - 2 Mansfield
Brighton 2 - 1 Liverpool
Sunderland 0 - 1 Brighton
Brighton 0 - 1 Arsenal
Brighton 2 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Brentford 0 - 2 Brighton
Liverpool 3 - 0 Brighton

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups