Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 54.02%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 23.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (6.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.