Premier League
Nott'm Forest
Apr 19, 2026 2.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT The City Ground
Burnley
  • Jair Cunha  42' yellowcard
  • Igor Jesus 46' yellowcard
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 62' goal
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 69' goal
  • Ryan Yates  76' yellowcard
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 77' goal
  • Morato 88' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Domínguez 89' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Domínguez 90' yellowcard
  • Igor Jesus 90'+8' goal
  • goal Zian Flemming 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Lyle Foster 64'
  • yellowcard Jacob Bruun Larsen 76'
  • yellowcard Loum Tchaouna 83'
  • yellowcard Armando Broja 83'
  • yellowcard Armando Broja 84'
  • yellowcard Loum Tchaouna 84'
  • yellowcard Josh Laurent 84'

Nottingham Forest vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 2.00pm
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Morgan Gibbs-White

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Burnley 0 - 2 Brighton
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.99%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%) , while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (5.88%).

Result

Nottingham Forest 55.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 23.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Burnley 21.37% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.62% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.07% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 23.93% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 52.36% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 47.64% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 29.91% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 70.09% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 17.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.35% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Nottingham Forest 43.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 40.17% ▲ (+0.07)
Burnley 16.57% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Nottingham Forest 64.09% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 6.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Burnley 29.53%

Corners

Over 8 64.73% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 23.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 52.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 12.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 35.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 10.5 40.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 59.9% ▼ (-0.04)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 1.5 51.2% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 48.8% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 25.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 74.93% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 10.02%
Under 3.5 89.98%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 56.68% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 43.32% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 24.32% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 75.68% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 7.92% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 92.08% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.77% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 55.33%
Draw 23.29%
Burnley 21.37%
Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 11.66%
2-1 @ 9.99% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.5%
3-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 9.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 55.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99%
0-0 @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 23.29%
Burnley
0-1 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.62%
0-2 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 21.37%

Head to Head

Premier League
Burnley
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Nott'm Forest
Premier League Gameweek 38
Burnley
May 19, 2024 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Turf Moor
Nott'm Forest
  • Maxime Esteve 65' yellowcard
  • Josh Cullen 72' goal
  • goal Chris Wood 2'
  • goal Chris Wood 14'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Nott'm Forest
Sep 18, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The City Ground
Burnley
  • Orel Mangala 32' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Montiel 34' yellowcard
  • Callum Hudson-Odoi 61' goal
  • yellowcard James Trafford 11'
  • goal Zeki Amdouni 41'
  • redcard Lyle Foster 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Connor Roberts 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Josh Cullen 90'+9'
EFL Cup
Nott'm Forest
Aug 30, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The City Ground
Burnley
  • Cheikhou Kouyate 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Brennan Johnson 85' yellowcard
  • Serge Aurier 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hjalmar Ekdal 52'
  • yellowcard Josh Brownhill 66'
  • goal Zeki Amdouni 90'
  • yellowcard Arijanet Muric 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Sander Berge 90'+7'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Nott'm Forest
Jul 29, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Burnley
  • Daryl Murphy 33' goal
  • goal Andre Gray 57'
Championship
Burnley
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Nott'm Forest
  • Sam Vokes 68' goal
  • yellowcard Bojan Jokic 42'

Form Data

Nott'm Forest 1 - 0 Porto
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Porto 1 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Spurs 0 - 3 Nott'm Forest
Midtjylland 1 - 2 Nott'm Forest
Nott'm Forest 0 - 0 Fulham
Burnley 0 - 2 Brighton
Fulham 3 - 1 Burnley
Burnley 0 - 0 Bournemouth
Everton 2 - 0 Burnley
Burnley 3 - 4 Brentford
Chelsea 1 - 1 Burnley

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