Premier League Gameweek 33
Apr 19, 2026 2.00pm
The City Ground

Nottingham Forest vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 2.00pm
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Morgan Gibbs-White

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Burnley 0 - 2 Brighton
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 55.36%. A draw has a probability of 23.28% and a win for Burnley has a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.01%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.99%) , while for a Burnley win it is 0-1 (5.85%).

Result

Nottingham Forest 55.36% (+2.33)
Draw 23.28% (-0.40)
Burnley 21.36% (-1.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.6% (-1.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.15% (-0.95)
Under 1.5 23.85% (+0.96)
Over 2.5 52.45% (-1.24)
Under 2.5 47.55% (+1.24)
Over 3.5 29.95% (-1.16)
Under 3.5 70.05% (+1.15)
Over 4.5 17.68% (-0.65)
Under 4.5 82.32% (+0.65)

First Half Winner

Nottingham Forest 43.29% (+4.97)
Draw 40.11% (-1.83)
Burnley 16.6% (-3.14)

Team To Score First

Nottingham Forest 64.12% (+2.56)
No Goal 6.35% (+0.35)
Burnley 29.53% (-2.90)

Corners

Over 8 64.7% (+0.33)
Equal 8 11.43% (+0.25)
Under 8 23.87% (-0.58)
Over 9 52.27% (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.43% (+0.37)
Under 9 35.3% (-0.34)
Over 10.5 40.06% (-0.42)
Under 10.5 59.94% (+0.42)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 1.5 51.26% (+0.72)
Under 1.5 48.74% (-0.72)
Over 2.5 25.1% (+0.64)
Under 2.5 74.9% (-0.63)
Over 3.5 10.02% (+0.41)
Under 3.5 89.98% (-0.40)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 56.73% (-2.66)
Under 0.5 43.27% (+2.66)
Over 1.5 24.38% (-2.47)
Under 1.5 75.62% (+2.47)
Over 2.5 7.98% (-1.37)
Under 2.5 92.02% (+1.37)
Over 3.5 2.25% (-0.55)
Under 3.5 97.75% (+0.55)

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 55.36%
Draw 23.29%
Burnley 21.36%
Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 11.66% (+0.76)
2-1 @ 10.01% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 9.69% (+0.69)
3-0 @ 5.67% (+0.42)
3-1 @ 5.5% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.11)
Other @ 9.91% (+0.43)
Total : 55.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 6.35% (+0.35)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.40)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.04)
Total : 23.29%
Burnley
0-1 @ 5.85% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 5.62% (-0.35)
0-2 @ 3.01% (-0.25)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.20)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.26)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.20)
Other @ 2.14% (-0.52)
Total : 21.36%

Head to Head

Premier League
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 38
May 19, 2024 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Turf Moor
  • Maxime Esteve 65' yellowcard
  • Josh Cullen 72' goal
  • goal Chris Wood 2'
  • goal Chris Wood 14'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The City Ground
  • Orel Mangala 32' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Montiel 34' yellowcard
  • Callum Hudson-Odoi 61' goal
  • yellowcard James Trafford 11'
  • goal Zeki Amdouni 41'
  • redcard Lyle Foster 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Connor Roberts 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Josh Cullen 90'+9'
EFL Cup
Aug 30, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The City Ground
  • Cheikhou Kouyate 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Brennan Johnson 85' yellowcard
  • Serge Aurier 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hjalmar Ekdal 52'
  • yellowcard Josh Brownhill 66'
  • goal Zeki Amdouni 90'
  • yellowcard Arijanet Muric 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Sander Berge 90'+7'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 29, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Daryl Murphy 33' goal
  • goal Andre Gray 57'
Championship
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sam Vokes 68' goal
  • yellowcard Bojan Jokic 42'