Premier League Gameweek 32
Apr 12, 2026 2.00pm
The City Ground

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 2.15pm
Spurs 0 - 3 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Morgan Gibbs-White

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 2.15pm
Aston Villa 2 - 0 West Ham
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Nottingham Forest has a probability of 36.36% and a draw has a probability of 24.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win is 2-1 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.29%).

Result

Nottingham Forest 36.36% (-1.44)
Draw 24.74% (-0.29)
Aston Villa 38.9% (+1.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.19% (+1.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.37% (+1.46)
Under 1.5 21.63% (-1.45)
Over 2.5 56.18% (+2.29)
Under 2.5 43.82% (-2.29)
Over 3.5 34.22% (+2.24)
Under 3.5 65.78% (-2.24)
Over 4.5 20.35% (+2.00)
Under 4.5 79.65% (-2.00)

First Half Winner

Nottingham Forest 27.03% (-1.62)
Draw 42.99% (-0.24)
Aston Villa 29.98% (+1.86)

Team To Score First

Nottingham Forest 47.31% (-1.04)
No Goal 5.84% (-0.41)
Aston Villa 46.85% (+1.43)

Corners

Over 8 61.33% (+1.12)
Equal 8 11.71% (-0.10)
Under 8 26.96% (-1.02)
Over 9 49% (+1.11)
Equal 9 12.33% (+0.02)
Under 9 38.67% (-1.12)
Over 10.5 37.22% (+0.98)
Under 10.5 62.78% (-1.00)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 1.5 39.28% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 60.72% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 16.82% (+0.38)
Under 2.5 83.18% (-0.37)
Over 3.5 5.89% (+0.35)
Under 3.5 94.11% (-0.35)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 72.79% (+1.56)
Under 0.5 27.21% (-1.56)
Over 1.5 41.51% (+2.56)
Under 1.5 58.49% (-2.56)
Over 2.5 18.6% (+2.09)
Under 2.5 81.4% (-2.09)
Over 3.5 7.06% (+1.16)
Under 3.5 92.94% (-1.16)

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 36.38%
Draw 24.75%
Aston Villa 38.91%
Nottingham Forest
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.25)
1-0 @ 7.8% (-0.74)
2-0 @ 5.37% (-0.50)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 3.01% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.13)
Other @ 5.68% (+0.25)
Total : 36.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.34)
2-2 @ 5.89% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.41)
3-3 @ 1.52% (+0.21)
Other @ 0.21% (+0.10)
Total : 24.75%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 8.51% (+0.25)
0-1 @ 8.03% (-0.28)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.16% (+0.27)
2-3 @ 3.08% (+0.29)
0-3 @ 2.78% (+0.18)
Other @ 6.85% (+1.06)
Total : 38.91%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 20
Jan 3, 2026 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
  • Ollie Watkins 45'+1' goal
  • John McGinn 49' goal
  • Jadon Sancho 69' yellowcard
  • Lucas Digne 69' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 73' goal
  • Lamare Bogarde 83' yellowcard
  • Donyell Malen 83' yellowcard
  • Andrés García 90' yellowcard
  • goal Morgan Gibbs-White 61'
  • yellowcard James McAtee 69'
  • yellowcard Nicolò Savona 69'
  • yellowcard Matz Sels 78'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 83'
  • yellowcard Arnaud Kalimuendo 83'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 5, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Villa Park
  • Morgan Rogers 13' goal
  • Donyell Malen 15' goal
  • Marco Asensio 51' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Martinez 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morato 49'
  • goal Jota Silva 57'
  • yellowcard Jota Silva 73'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Dec 14, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The City Ground
  • Nikola Milenkovic 87' goal
  • Anthony Elanga 90'+3' goal
  • goal Jhon Duran 63'
  • yellowcard Jhon Duran 70'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Villa Park
  • Ollie Watkins 4' goal
  • Douglas Luiz 29' goal
  • Douglas Luiz 39' goal
  • Alex Moreno 57' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 61' goal
  • yellowcard Murillo 15'
  • yellowcard Felipe 45'
  • goal Morgan Gibbs-White 48'
  • goal Moussa Niakhate 45'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The City Ground
  • Ola Aina 5' goal
  • Orel Mangala 47' goal
  • Danilo 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Boubacar Kamara 64'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Apr 8, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Bertrand Traore 48' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 90'+5' goal