Europa League
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Aston Villa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bologna win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 36.5% and a draw has a probability of 24.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 0-1 (8.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.12%).

Result

Bologna 38.88% (+0.11)
Draw 24.62%
Aston Villa 36.5% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.46%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.39%
Under 1.5 22.61%
Over 2.5 54.82% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 45.18% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 33.54%
Under 3.5 66.46%
Over 4.5 19.69%
Under 4.5 80.31%

First Half Winner

Bologna 27.63%
Draw 43.48%
Aston Villa 28.9%

Team To Score First

Bologna 46.5%
No Goal 6.03%
Aston Villa 47.47%

Corners

Over 8 52.74% (+0.15)
Equal 8 11.9%
Under 8 35.35% (-0.15)
Over 9 41.08% (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.66% (+0.02)
Under 9 47.26% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 30.6% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 69.4% (-0.10)

Bologna Goals

Over 1.5 40.6% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 59.4% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 17.78% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 82.22% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 6.26% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.74% (-0.04)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 70.57% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 29.43% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 39.01% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 60.99% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 16.89% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 83.11% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.38% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.62% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Bologna 38.88%
Draw 24.63%
Aston Villa 36.5%
Bologna
1-0 @ 8.55% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.18% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.04% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.22% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.02% (+0.03)
Total : 38.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12%
0-0 @ 6.03%
2-2 @ 5.81%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.63%
Aston Villa
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.14% (-0.04)
Total : 36.5%

Head to Head

Europa League
Sep 25, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Champions League
Oct 22, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
  • Ross Barkley 50' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 55' goal
  • Jhon Duran 64' goal
  • yellowcard Riccardo Orsolini 19'
  • yellowcard Stefan Posch 45'
  • yellowcard Charalampos Lykogiannis 47'
  • yellowcard Remo Freuler 53'