Europa League
Bologna
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Aston Villa
  • Nikola Moro 67' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Orsolini 67' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Orsolini 68' yellowcard
  • Nikola Moro 68' yellowcard
  • Jens Odgaard 82' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Rowe 90' goal
  • Nicolò Cambiaghi 90' yellowcard
  • goal Ezri Konsa 44'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 51'
  • yellowcard Lamare Bogarde 80'
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 88'
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 88'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 90'+4'

Bologna vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Aston Villa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result

Bologna 38.35%
Draw 24.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Aston Villa 36.93% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.9% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 22.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 54.19% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 45.81% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 32.77% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 67.23% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 4.5 19.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 80.93% ▲ (+0.09)

First Half Winner

Bologna 27.63%
Draw 43.48%
Aston Villa 28.9%

Team To Score First

Bologna 46.44% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 6.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Aston Villa 47.41% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.69% ▼ (-0.06)
Equal 8 11.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 35.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 41.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.66%
Under 9 47.31% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 10.5 30.55% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 69.45% ▲ (+0.05)

Bologna Goals

Over 1.5 39.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 60.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 82.85% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.92% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.08% ▲ (+0.02)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 70.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 29.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 39.02% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 60.98% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 16.82% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 83.18% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.71% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Bologna 38.35%
Draw 24.72%
Aston Villa 36.94%
Bologna
1-0 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 38.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.75%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.72%
Aston Villa
0-1 @ 8.23% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.56%
Other @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 36.94%

Head to Head

Europa League
Aston Villa
Sep 25, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bologna
Champions League
Aston Villa
Oct 22, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
Bologna
  • Ross Barkley 50' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 55' goal
  • Jhon Duran 64' goal
  • yellowcard Riccardo Orsolini 19'
  • yellowcard Stefan Posch 45'
  • yellowcard Charalampos Lykogiannis 47'
  • yellowcard Remo Freuler 53'

Form Data

Cremonese 1 - 2 Bologna
Bologna 0 - 2 Lazio
Roma 3 - 4 Bologna
Sassuolo 0 - 1 Bologna
Bologna 1 - 1 Roma
Bologna 1 - 2 Hellas Verona
Aston Villa 1 - 2 Elche
Aston Villa 2 - 0 West Ham
Aston Villa 2 - 0 Lille
Man Utd 3 - 1 Aston Villa
Lille 0 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 1 - 4 Chelsea

Build-up

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