Europa League
Mar 19, 2026 8.00pm
Villa Park

Aston Villa vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
Lille 0 - 1 Aston Villa

Lille

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
Lille 0 - 1 Aston Villa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Lille has a probability of 33.45% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Lille win is 1-2 (7.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.76%).

Result

Aston Villa 42.65% (+0.11)
Draw 23.9%
Lille 33.45% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.97% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.12% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 20.88% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 57.21% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 42.79% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 35.59% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 64.41% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 21.34% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 78.66% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Aston Villa 29.89% (-0.06)
Draw 42.29% (-0.03)
Lille 27.82% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Aston Villa 46.4% (-0.08)
No Goal 5.42% (+0.04)
Lille 48.18% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 50.3% (+0.11)
Equal 8 11.93% (-0.01)
Under 8 37.77% (-0.10)
Over 9 38.84% (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.46% (+0.02)
Under 9 49.7% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 28.73% (+0.09)
Under 10.5 71.27% (-0.10)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 1.5 45.02% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 54.98% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 21.56% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 78.44% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.68% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 91.32% (+0.02)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 68.49% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 31.51% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 37.21% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 62.79% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 15.46% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 84.54% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 5.22% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 94.78% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 42.65%
Draw 23.9%
Lille 33.46%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 8.52% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.2% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.14% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.73%
3-0 @ 3.32% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.04)
Other @ 8.44% (-0.01)
Total : 42.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.76% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.42% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.24% (-0.02)
Total : 23.9%
Lille
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-1 @ 7.27% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.29%
Other @ 4.98% (-0.05)
Total : 33.46%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Ayyoub Bouaddi 46' yellowcard
  • Matías Fernández-Pardo 52' yellowcard
  • Félix Correia 66' yellowcard
  • Thomas Meunier 66' yellowcard
  • Soriba Diaoune 83' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • goal Ollie Watkins 61'
  • yellowcard Tammy Abraham 77'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 77'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 78'
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 83'
  • yellowcard 83'
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 83'
  • yellowcard Harvey Elliott 90'
Conference League
Apr 18, 2024 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
ET Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Yusuf Yazici 15' goal
  • Paulo Fonseca 22' yellowcard
  • Nabil Bentaleb 42' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Andre 43' yellowcard
  • Morgan Rogers 61' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Andre 67' goal
  • Angel Gomes 117' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 21'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 39'
  • yellowcard Unai Emery 44'
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 61'
  • yellowcard Jhon Duran 76'
  • goal Matty Cash 87'
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Angel Gomes 109'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 122'
Conference League
Apr 11, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
  • Ollie Watkins 13' goal
  • Douglas Luiz 49' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 56' goal
  • Youri Tielemans 77' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Martinez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paulo Fonseca 45'+1'
  • goal Bafode Diakite 84'