Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Lille
Mar 8, 2026 4.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lorient
  • Matías Fernández-Pardo 65' goal
  • Ngal'ayel Mukau 73' yellowcard
  • Thomas Meunier 73' yellowcard
  • Félix Correia 73' yellowcard
  • Ngal'ayel Mukau 74' yellowcard
  • Félix Correia 74' yellowcard
  • Soriba Diaoune 87' yellowcard
  • Noah Edjouma 87' yellowcard
  • Noah Edjouma 88' yellowcard
  • Soriba Diaoune 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Théo Le Bris 66'
  • yellowcard Bamba Dieng 66'
  • yellowcard Bamba Dieng 67'
  • yellowcard Darlin Yongwa 74'
  • yellowcard Sambou Soumano 74'
  • yellowcard Sambou Soumano 75'
  • yellowcard Daniel Semedo 80'
  • goal Arthur Avom 90'+3'

Lille vs Lorient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 4.15pm
Lille 1 - 0 Nantes
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Matías Fernández-Pardo

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 4.15pm
Lorient 2 - 2 Auxerre
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Bamba Dieng

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (7.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result

Lille 48.82% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 25.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Lorient 25.9%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.21% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.75% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 25.25% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 50.85% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 49.15% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 28.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 83.87% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Lille 32.05%
Draw 41.33%
Lorient 26.63%

Team To Score First

Lille 53.03%
No Goal 7.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Lorient 39.93% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.5%
Equal 8 11.59% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 8 33.91% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 9 42.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 45.5%
Over 10.5 32.48% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 10.5 67.52% ▼ (-0.05)

Lille Goals

Over 1.5 46.27% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 53.73% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 21.09% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 78.91% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.32% ▼ (-0.03)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5 61.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 38.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 28.04%
Under 1.5 71.96%
Over 2.5 9.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.27% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Lille 48.81%
Draw 25.28%
Lorient 25.91%
Lille
1-0 @ 10.98% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.6%
2-0 @ 8.38% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84%
Other @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 48.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.28%
Lorient
0-1 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92%
0-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 25.91%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Lorient
Aug 30, 2025 4.00pm
1
7
HT : 0 0
FT
Lille
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Lille
Jan 14, 2024 12.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lorient
  • Jonathan David 37' goal
  • Benjamin Andre 40' yellowcard
  • Remy Cabella 90' goal
  • Edon Zhegrova 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Theo Le Bris 30'
  • yellowcard T. Le Bris 30'
  • yellowcard Tiemoue Bakayoko 41'
  • yellowcard Aurelien Pelon 55'
  • yellowcard Isaak Toure 88'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Lorient
Aug 27, 2023 4.05pm
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Lille
  • Laurent Abergel 9' goal
  • Laurent Abergel 9' goal
  • Julien Ponceau 10' goal
  • Julien Ponceau 10' goal
  • Pablo Pagis 49' yellowcard
  • Ckene Doucoure 57' yellowcard
  • Romain Faivre 62' goal
  • Vincent Le Goff 67' goal
  • yellowcard Leny Yoro 15'
  • yellowcard Bafode Diakite 27'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Andre 51'
  • goal Jonathan David 55'
  • yellowcard Yusuf Yazici 87'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Lille
Apr 2, 2023 12.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Lorient
  • Remy Cabella 13' goal
  • Edon Zhegrova 89' goal
  • Edon Zhegrova 90'+1' goal
  • goal Ibrahima Kone 77'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Lorient
Oct 2, 2022 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Lille
  • Bafode Diakite 9' goal
  • Theo Le Bris 87' goal
  • goal Jonathan David 78'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Lille
Jan 19, 2022 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
Lorient
  • Isaac Lihadji 10' goal
  • Moritz Jenz 19' goal
  • Reinildo Mandava 31' goal
  • goal Sambou Soumano 90'+1'

Form Data

Lille 1 - 0 Nantes
Red Star 0 - 2 Lille
Angers 0 - 1 Lille
Lille 0 - 1 Red Star
Lille 1 - 1 Brest
Metz 0 - 0 Lille
Lorient 0 - 0 Nice
Lorient 2 - 2 Auxerre
Nice 3 - 3 Lorient
Lorient 2 - 0 Angers
Brest 2 - 0 Lorient
Lorient 2 - 0 Paris FC