Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2026 4.15pm
Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille vs Lorient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 4.15pm
Lille 1 - 0 Nantes
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Igmane Hamza

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 4.15pm
Lorient 2 - 2 Auxerre
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Bamba Dieng

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lille win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Lorient has a probability of 25.97% and a draw has a probability of 25.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win is 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Lorient win is 0-1 (7.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.73%).

Result

Lille 48.68% (+0.54)
Draw 25.35%
Lorient 25.97% (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.11% (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.62% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 25.38% (+0.28)
Over 2.5 50.7% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 49.3% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 28.7% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 71.3% (+0.26)
Over 4.5 16.08% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 83.92% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Lille 32.05%
Draw 41.33%
Lorient 26.63%

Team To Score First

Lille 52.98% (-0.10)
No Goal 7.09% (+0.13)
Lorient 39.93% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 54.45% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.62% (+0.01)
Under 8 33.94% (+0.04)
Over 9 42.92% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.53%
Under 9 45.55% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 32.39% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 67.61% (+0.05)

Lille Goals

Over 1.5 46.13% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 53.87% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 20.97% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 79.03% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 7.62% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.38% (-0.06)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5 61.6% (-0.66)
Under 0.5 38.4% (+0.66)
Over 1.5 28.05% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 71.95% (+0.61)
Over 2.5 9.64% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 90.36% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 2.74% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 97.26% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Lille 48.67%
Draw 25.35%
Lorient 25.97%
Lille
1-0 @ 11% (+0.20)
2-1 @ 9.59%
2-0 @ 8.37% (+0.19)
3-1 @ 4.95% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.46% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.05)
Other @ 7.47% (+0.05)
Total : 48.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.09% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.35%
Lorient
0-1 @ 7.28% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.59% (-0.10)
Total : 25.97%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Aug 30, 2025 4.00pm
1
7
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2024 12.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Jonathan David 37' goal
  • Benjamin Andre 40' yellowcard
  • Remy Cabella 90' goal
  • Edon Zhegrova 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Theo Le Bris 30'
  • yellowcard T. Le Bris 30'
  • yellowcard Tiemoue Bakayoko 41'
  • yellowcard Aurelien Pelon 55'
  • yellowcard Isaak Toure 88'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 4.05pm
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Laurent Abergel 9' goal
  • Laurent Abergel 9' goal
  • Julien Ponceau 10' goal
  • Julien Ponceau 10' goal
  • Pablo Pagis 49' yellowcard
  • Ckene Doucoure 57' yellowcard
  • Romain Faivre 62' goal
  • Vincent Le Goff 67' goal
  • yellowcard Leny Yoro 15'
  • yellowcard Bafode Diakite 27'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Andre 51'
  • goal Jonathan David 55'
  • yellowcard Yusuf Yazici 87'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Apr 2, 2023 12.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Remy Cabella 13' goal
  • Edon Zhegrova 89' goal
  • Edon Zhegrova 90'+1' goal
  • goal Ibrahima Kone 77'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Oct 2, 2022 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bafode Diakite 9' goal
  • Theo Le Bris 87' goal
  • goal Jonathan David 78'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Jan 19, 2022 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Isaac Lihadji 10' goal
  • Moritz Jenz 19' goal
  • Reinildo Mandava 31' goal
  • goal Sambou Soumano 90'+1'