Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2026 4.15pm
Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille vs Nantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 4.15pm
Angers 0 - 1 Lille
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Igmane Hamza

Nantes

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 4.15pm
Nantes 2 - 0 Le Havre
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Fabien Centonze

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lille win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw has a probability of 22.23% and a win for Nantes has a probability of 16.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.34%) , while for a Nantes win it is 0-1 (5.55%).

Result

Lille 61.29%
Draw 22.23%
Nantes 16.48%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.73%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.73%
Under 1.5 24.27%
Over 2.5 52.16%
Under 2.5 47.84%
Over 3.5 29.94%
Under 3.5 70.06%
Over 4.5 17.99%
Under 4.5 82.01%

First Half Winner

Lille 46.61%
Draw 37.19%
Nantes 16.2%

Team To Score First

Lille 66.57%
No Goal 6.78%
Nantes 26.65%

Corners

Over 8 61.02%
Equal 8 11.37%
Under 8 27.62%
Over 9 49.12%
Equal 9 11.9%
Under 9 38.98%
Over 10.5 37.73%
Under 10.5 62.27%

Lille Goals

Over 1.5 55.53%
Under 1.5 44.47%
Over 2.5 29.14%
Under 2.5 70.86%
Over 3.5 12.24%
Under 3.5 87.76%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5 51.59%
Under 0.5 48.41%
Over 1.5 18.85%
Under 1.5 81.15%
Over 2.5 4.88%
Under 2.5 95.12%
Over 3.5 1.07%
Under 3.5 98.93%

Score analysis

Lille 61.29%
Draw 22.23%
Nantes 16.48%
Lille
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-0 @ 10.89%
2-1 @ 10.26%
3-0 @ 6.63%
3-1 @ 6.59%
3-2 @ 2.81%
Other @ 12.17%
Total : 61.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.34%
0-0 @ 6.78%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 22.23%
Nantes
0-1 @ 5.55%
1-2 @ 4.65%
0-2 @ 2.34%
1-3 @ 1.19%
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1%
Total : 16.48%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Oct 19, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2025 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Pedro Chirivella 12' yellowcard
  • Moses Simon 54' yellowcard
  • Jean-Charles Castelletto 74' redcard
  • Mostafa Mohamed 83' goal
  • yellowcard Aissa Mandi 57'
  • yellowcard Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 66'
  • yellowcard Mitchel Bakker 67'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Jan 4, 2025 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Gabriel Gudmundsson 41' goal
  • Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 77' yellowcard
  • goal Matthis Abline 70'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Cozza 73'
  • yellowcard Jean-Charles Castelletto 89'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Mostafa Mohamed 33' yellowcard
  • Alban Lafont 44' yellowcard
  • Matthis Abline 54' goal
  • Nicolas Pallois 60' yellowcard
  • Moussa Sissoko 74' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan David 8'
  • goal Jonathan David 11'
  • yellowcard Edon Zhegrova 44'
  • yellowcard Nabil Bentaleb 81'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2023 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Jonathan David 66' goal
  • Alexsandro 78' redcard
  • Adam Ounas 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolas Pallois 32'
  • yellowcard Jean-Charles Castelletto 47'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jonathan David 51' goal
  • Jonathan David 88' goal
  • goal Quentin Merlin 17'