Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.14% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%) , while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.