Europa League
Feb 19, 2026 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Nabil Bentaleb 46' yellowcard
  • Tiago Santos 46' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 62' yellowcard
  • Soriba Diaoune 77' yellowcard
  • Noah Edjouma 77' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • goal Franklin Tebo 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Marko Arnautovic 64'
  • yellowcard Adem Avdić 77'
  • yellowcard Cristian Chambian 77'
  • yellowcard Nair Tiknizyan 77'
  • yellowcard Milos Veljkovic 77'
  • yellowcard Nikola Stankovic 85'
  • yellowcard Milos Veljkovic 85'
  • yellowcard Vladimir Lucic 85'

Lille vs Red Star Belgrade - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Red Star Belgrade

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Lille had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (7.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

Lille 35.03% (+0.04)
Draw 23.47% (+0.01)
Red Star Belgrade 41.5% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.3%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.27% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 18.73% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 60.45% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 39.55% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 37.87%
Under 3.5 62.13%
Over 4.5 23.29% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 76.71% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Lille 25.47%
Draw 40.1%
Red Star Belgrade 34.43%

Team To Score First

Lille 41.28% (-0.05)
No Goal 4.83% (-0.01)
Red Star Belgrade 53.89% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 52.88% (-0.08)
Equal 8 10.82%
Under 8 36.3% (+0.08)
Over 9 42.24% (-0.08)
Equal 9 10.65%
Under 9 47.12% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 32.54% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 67.46% (+0.07)

Lille Goals

Over 1.5 39.99% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 60.01% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 17.79% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 82.21% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.36% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.64% (-0.02)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5 74.82%
Under 0.5 25.18%
Over 1.5 45.74% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 54.26% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 22.07%
Under 2.5 77.93%
Over 3.5 8.98% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.02% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Lille 35.03%
Draw 23.46%
Red Star Belgrade 41.51%
Lille
2-1 @ 7.8% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.79% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.79% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.86% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02%
3-0 @ 2.73% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.04% (+0.03)
Total : 35.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.31% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.83% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.46%
Red Star Belgrade
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.72% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.54% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.3% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.66% (+0.02)
Total : 41.51%

Head to Head

Europa League
Nov 6, 2025 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT