Europa League
Feb 19, 2026 8.00pm
Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille vs Red Star Belgrade - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Red Star Belgrade

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Lille has a probability of 35.67% and a draw has a probability of 22.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Lille win is 2-1 (7.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.3%).

Result

Lille 35.67% (-0.11)
Draw 22.82%
Red Star Belgrade 41.51% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.33% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.72%
Under 1.5 19.28%
Over 2.5 59.48% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 40.53%
Over 3.5 37.57% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 62.43% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 22.92% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 77.08% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Lille 25.36%
Draw 37.79% (+0.16)
Red Star Belgrade 36.85% (-0.16)

Team To Score First

Lille 41.18% (+0.23)
No Goal 4.75% (-0.02)
Red Star Belgrade 54.07% (-0.22)

Corners

Over 8 56.31% (+0.34)
Equal 8 11.33% (+0.08)
Under 8 32.36% (-0.40)
Over 9 44.89% (+0.22)
Equal 9 11.42% (+0.11)
Under 9 43.69% (-0.34)
Over 10.5 34.31% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 65.69% (-0.11)

Lille Goals

Over 1.5 39.86% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 60.14% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 17.67% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 82.33% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 6.24% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 93.76% (+0.07)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5 74.39% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 25.61% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 45% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 55% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 21.47% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 78.53% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 8.53% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 91.47% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Lille 35.67%
Draw 22.82%
Red Star Belgrade 41.5%
Lille
2-1 @ 7.67% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.1% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.65% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.09% (-0.07)
Total : 35.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.3% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.99% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.82%
Red Star Belgrade
1-2 @ 8.45% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 7.42% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.94%
1-3 @ 4.66%
2-3 @ 3.52%
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.38% (+0.05)
Total : 41.5%

Head to Head

Europa League
Nov 6, 2025 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT