Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 56.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.46% and a win for Brest had a probability of 21.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%) , while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.