Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Brest
Feb 7, 2026 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
Lorient
  • Hugo Magnetti 33' yellowcard
  • Rémy Labeau Lascary 50' goal
  • Junior Dina Ebimbe 73' yellowcard
  • Ludovic Ajorque 77' goal
  • Ludovic Ajorque 80' yellowcard
  • Lucas Tousart 83' yellowcard
  • Pathé Mboup 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sambou Soumano 63'
  • yellowcard Aiyegun Tosin 63'
  • yellowcard Darlin Yongwa 64'
  • yellowcard Karim Dermane 73'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Bamba 80'

Brest vs Lorient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 4.15pm
Nice 2 - 2 Brest
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Romain Del Castillo

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 6.00pm
Lorient 2 - 1 Nantes
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Bamba Dieng

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (9.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

Brest 37.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 25.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Lorient 36.88% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.92%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.13% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 25.87% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 49.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 50.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 26.92% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 73.08% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 14.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 85.56% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Brest 24.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 42.59% ▲ (+0.05)
Lorient 32.52% ▼ (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Brest 41.87% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 7.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Lorient 50.89% ▲ (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 54.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 12.06%
Under 8 33.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 9 42.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.95%
Under 9 45.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 31.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 68.66% ▼ (-0.02)

Brest Goals

Over 1.5 36.72% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 63.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.35% ▲ (+0.02)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5 69.41% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 30.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 36.21% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 63.79% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 14.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 85.68% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.55% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Brest 37.4%
Draw 25.71%
Lorient 36.9%
Brest
1-0 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.59%
3-0 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 37.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.06% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.71%
Lorient
0-1 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.3%
0-2 @ 6.26%
1-3 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34%
Other @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 36.9%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Lorient
Oct 19, 2025 4.15pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Brest
  • Théo Le Bris 2' goal
  • Abdoulaye Faye 51' yellowcard
  • Arsène Kouassi 55' goal
  • Bamo Meïté 84' yellowcard
  • Sambou Soumano 89' goal
  • Aiyegun Tosin 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Junior Dina Ebimbe 34'
  • goal Jean-Victor Makengo 44' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ludovic Ajorque 51'
  • goal Romain Del Castillo 86'
  • yellowcard Julien Le Cardinal 89'
Club Friendlies 3
Lorient
Jul 20, 2024 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Menez Paul
Brest
  • Loris Mouyokolo 78' goal
  • Bonke Innocent 82' redcard
  • goal Jeremy Le Douaron 45'+2'
  • redcard Achraf Dari 82'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Lorient
Mar 31, 2024 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Brest
  • Bamba Dieng 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kenny Lala 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jonas Martin 76'
  • yellowcard Lilian Brassier 80'
  • goal Romain Del Castillo 86'
  • redcard Bilal Brahimi 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Brest
Dec 20, 2023 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
Lorient
  • Kamory Doumbia 22' goal
  • Kamory Doumbia 25' goal
  • Kamory Doumbia 29' goal
  • Kamory Doumbia 45'+3' goal
  • Lilian Brassier 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eli Junior Kroupi 70'
  • yellowcard Igor Silva 86'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
Lorient
May 7, 2023 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Brest
  • Ibrahima Kone 32' goal
  • Ibrahima Kone 51' goal
  • goal Romain Del Castillo 69'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Brest
Oct 9, 2022 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Lorient
  • Romain Del Castillo 17' goal
  • goal Terem Moffi 24'
  • goal Terem Moffi 53'

Form Data

Nice 2 - 2 Brest
Brest 0 - 2 Toulouse
Lyon 2 - 1 Brest
Brest 2 - 0 Auxerre
Avranches 1 - 1 Brest
Rennes 3 - 1 Brest
Lorient 2 - 0 Paris FC
Lorient 2 - 1 Nantes
Rennes 0 - 2 Lorient
Monaco 1 - 3 Lorient
Hauts Lyonnais 1 - 3 Lorient
Lorient 1 - 1 Metz