Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2026 6.00pm
Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest vs Lorient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 4.15pm
Nice 0 - 0 Brest
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Eric Ebimbe

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 6.00pm
Lorient 2 - 1 Nantes
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Sambou Soumano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lorient win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Brest has a probability of 37.24% and a draw has a probability of 25.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win is 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Brest win is 1-0 (8.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.92%).

Result

Brest 37.24% (-0.37)
Draw 25.44% (-0.29)
Lorient 37.35% (+0.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.11% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.22% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 24.78% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 50.97% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 49.03% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 28.22% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 71.78% (-0.24)
Over 4.5 15.31% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 84.69% (-0.25)

First Half Winner

Brest 24.87% (-0.12)
Draw 42.54% (-0.39)
Lorient 32.59% (+0.50)

Team To Score First

Brest 42.13% (+1.11)
No Goal 6.85% (-0.23)
Lorient 51.02% (-0.89)

Corners

Over 8 54.15% (+2.02)
Equal 8 12.07% (+0.30)
Under 8 33.78% (-2.32)
Over 9 42.19% (+1.55)
Equal 9 11.96% (+0.48)
Under 9 45.85% (-2.02)
Over 10.5 31.34% (+1.00)
Under 10.5 68.66% (-1.00)

Brest Goals

Over 1.5 37.42% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 62.58% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 15.14% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 84.86% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 4.99% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 95.01% (-0.07)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5 70.23% (+0.49)
Under 0.5 29.77% (-0.49)
Over 1.5 37.25% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 62.75% (-0.41)
Over 2.5 14.91% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 85.09% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 4.65% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.35% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Brest 37.25%
Draw 25.43%
Lorient 37.35%
Brest
1-0 @ 8.96% (-0.16)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 6.05% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.84% (+0.10)
Total : 37.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.23)
2-2 @ 5.4% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15% (-0.03)
Total : 25.43%
Lorient
0-1 @ 9% (+0.20)
1-2 @ 8.42% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 6.28% (+0.24)
1-3 @ 3.81% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.87% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.47% (+0.21)
Other @ 4.5% (+0.05)
Total : 37.35%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Oct 19, 2025 4.15pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Menez Paul
  • Loris Mouyokolo 78' goal
  • Bonke Innocent 82' redcard
  • goal Jeremy Le Douaron 45'+2'
  • redcard Achraf Dari 82'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Bamba Dieng 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kenny Lala 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jonas Martin 76'
  • yellowcard Lilian Brassier 80'
  • goal Romain Del Castillo 86'
  • redcard Bilal Brahimi 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2023 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Kamory Doumbia 22' goal
  • Kamory Doumbia 25' goal
  • Kamory Doumbia 29' goal
  • Kamory Doumbia 45'+3' goal
  • Lilian Brassier 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eli Junior Kroupi 70'
  • yellowcard Igor Silva 86'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
May 7, 2023 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ibrahima Kone 32' goal
  • Ibrahima Kone 51' goal
  • goal Romain Del Castillo 69'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2022 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Romain Del Castillo 17' goal
  • goal Terem Moffi 24'
  • goal Terem Moffi 53'