Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 1-2 (7.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.