Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Angers had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.