Europa League
Feb 26, 2026 5.45pm
0
2
ET Stadion Rajko Mitić
  • Marko Arnautovic 46' yellowcard
  • Milos Veljkovic 46' yellowcard
  • Timi Max Elsnik 71' yellowcard
  • Douglas Owusu 104' yellowcard
  • Cristian Chambian 104' yellowcard
  • Adem Avdić 106' yellowcard
  • goal Olivier Giroud 4'
  • yellowcard Félix Correia 71'
  • yellowcard Ngal'ayel Mukau 91'
  • yellowcard Nathan Ngoy 95'
  • yellowcard Ngal'ayel Mukau 95'
  • goal Nathan Ngoy 99'
  • yellowcard Calvin Verdonk 106'

Red Star Belgrade vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Star Belgrade

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Feb 19, 2026 8.00pm
Lille 0 - 1 Red Star

Lille

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Feb 19, 2026 8.00pm
Lille 0 - 1 Red Star

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 51.07%. A win for Lille had a probability of 25.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (6.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Red Star Belgrade 51.07% (+0.01)
Draw 23.31% (-0.02)
Lille 25.65%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.35%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.36%
Under 1.5 21.64%
Over 2.5 56.08%
Under 2.5 43.92%
Over 3.5 34.25% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 65.75% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 20.83% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79.17% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Red Star Belgrade 44.23%
Draw 37.53%
Lille 18.24%

Team To Score First

Red Star Belgrade 61.73% (+0.01)
No Goal 5.86%
Lille 32.41% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 53.44%
Equal 8 11.23%
Under 8 35.33%
Over 9 42.36%
Equal 9 11.07%
Under 9 46.56%
Over 10.5 32.28%
Under 10.5 67.72%

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 1.5 50.64%
Under 1.5 49.36%
Over 2.5 25.65% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 74.35% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 10.73%
Under 3.5 89.27%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 61.34%
Under 0.5 38.66%
Over 1.5 29.8% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 70.2% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 11.07% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.93% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.58%
Under 3.5 96.42%

Score analysis

Red Star Belgrade 51.07%
Draw 23.32%
Lille 25.64%
Red Star Belgrade
1-0 @ 9.6%
2-1 @ 9.4% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.06% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.47%
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.37%
Other @ 10.4%
Total : 51.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.46% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.86%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.32%
Lille
1-2 @ 6.23%
0-1 @ 6.21%
0-2 @ 3.77%
1-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 25.64%

Head to Head

Europa League
Feb 19, 2026 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Nabil Bentaleb 46' yellowcard
  • Tiago Santos 46' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 62' yellowcard
  • Soriba Diaoune 77' yellowcard
  • Noah Edjouma 77' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • goal Franklin Tebo 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Marko Arnautovic 64'
  • yellowcard Adem Avdić 77'
  • yellowcard Cristian Chambian 77'
  • yellowcard Nair Tiknizyan 77'
  • yellowcard Milos Veljkovic 77'
  • yellowcard Nikola Stankovic 85'
  • yellowcard Milos Veljkovic 85'
  • yellowcard Vladimir Lucic 85'
Europa League
Nov 6, 2025 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT