Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 22, 2026 4.15pm
Allianz Riviera

Nice vs Lorient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 7.45pm
Lyon 2 - 0 Nice
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Elye Wahi

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 4.15pm
Lorient 2 - 0 Angers
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Pablo Pagis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nice win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Lorient has a probability of 32.25% and a draw has a probability of 26.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Lorient win is 0-1 (8.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.93%).

Result

Nice 40.9% (-0.08)
Draw 26.85% (+0.05)
Lorient 32.25% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.49% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.05% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.95% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 46.66% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 53.34% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 26.04% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 73.96% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 14.02% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.98% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Nice 26.92%
Draw 41.49% (+0.02)
Lorient 31.59% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Nice 41.91%
No Goal 8.88% (+0.03)
Lorient 49.21% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.5% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.07% (-0.03)
Under 8 25.43% (+0.06)
Over 9 51.66% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.83% (-0.04)
Under 9 36.5% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 40.12% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 59.88% (-0.05)

Nice Goals

Over 1.5 37.79% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 62.21% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 15.05% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 84.95% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.77%
Under 3.5 95.23%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5 64.49% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 35.51% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 31.97% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 68.03% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 12.08% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 87.92% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.76% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.24% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Nice 40.9%
Draw 26.85%
Lorient 32.25%
Nice
1-0 @ 11.41%
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.37% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.69% (-0.01)
Total : 40.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.88% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.99% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.08% (+0.01)
Total : 26.85%
Lorient
0-1 @ 8.66% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.47% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.09%
1-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.87% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 32.25%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Nov 30, 2025 4.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Darlin Yongwa 27' yellowcard
  • Darlin Yongwa 28' yellowcard
  • Laurent Abergel 31' goal
  • Sambou Soumano 45'+2' goal
  • Sambou Soumano 53' goal
  • goal Arthur Ebong Avon 12' (OG)
  • yellowcard Sofiane Diop 56'
  • yellowcard Isak Jansson 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Riviera
  • Morgan Sanson 22' goal
  • Jeremie Boga 53' goal
  • Evann Guessand 89' goal
  • yellowcard Mohamed Bamba 7'
  • yellowcard Ayman Kari 57'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Julien Laporte 53' yellowcard
  • Ckene Doucoure 77' goal
  • yellowcard Morgan Sanson 52'
  • goal Evann Guessand 64'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Mar 19, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Gaetan Laborde 77' goal
  • goal Bamo Meite 30'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Oct 30, 2022 4.05pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dango Ouattara 18' goal
  • goal Youcef Atal 61'
  • goal Gaetan Laborde 69'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
Apr 17, 2022 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Flavius Daniliuc 45' yellowcard
  • Andy Delort 54' goal
  • Khephren Thuram 78' yellowcard
  • Andy Delort 88' goal
  • yellowcard Moritz Jenz 53'
  • goal Armand Lauriente 61'