Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (8.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.