Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.99% and a win for Nice had a probability of 14.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.71%) and 2-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%) , while for a Nice win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.