Ligue 1
Feb 15, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Groupama Stadium
  • Corentin Tolisso 45'+1' goal
  • Noah Nartey 64' goal
  • Khalis Merah 66' yellowcard
  • Roman Yaremchuk 81' yellowcard
  • Noham Kamara 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kaïl Boudache 6'
  • yellowcard Abdulay Juma Bah 74'
  • yellowcard Kevin Carlos 74'
  • yellowcard Kevin Carlos 75'
  • yellowcard Hicham Boudaoui 75'
  • yellowcard Juma Bah 75'
  • yellowcard Isak Jansson 83'

Lyon vs Nice - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 8.05pm
Nantes 0 - 1 Lyon
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Pavel Sulc

Nice

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 2.00pm
Nice 0 - 0 Monaco
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Elye Wahi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.99% and a win for Nice had a probability of 14.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.71%) and 2-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%) , while for a Nice win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result

Lyon 65.77% (-0.58)
Draw 19.99% (+0.31)
Nice 14.24% (+0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.95% (+0.31)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.45% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 19.55% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 59.05% (+0.72)
Under 2.5 40.95% (-0.72)
Over 3.5 34.69% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 65.31% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 22.3% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 77.7% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Lyon 47.89% (-0.62)
Draw 35.74% (+0.81)
Nice 16.38% (-0.18)

Team To Score First

Lyon 65.31% (-0.65)
No Goal 4.86% (-0.01)
Nice 29.83% (+0.65)

Corners

Over 8 59.14% (-0.09)
Equal 8 11.49% (-0.04)
Under 8 29.37% (+0.13)
Over 9 47.3% (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.84% (-0.06)
Under 9 40.86% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 36.14% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 63.86% (-0.03)

Lyon Goals

Over 1.5 61.97% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 38.03% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 34.79% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 65.21% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 16.12%
Under 3.5 83.88%

Nice Goals

Over 0.5 50.09% (+0.47)
Under 0.5 49.91% (-0.47)
Over 1.5 19.13% (+0.62)
Under 1.5 80.87% (-0.62)
Over 2.5 5.2% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 94.8% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 1.28% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 98.72% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Lyon 65.77%
Draw 20%
Nice 14.23%
Lyon
2-1 @ 11.08% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 10.71% (-0.23)
2-0 @ 10.28% (-0.30)
3-0 @ 8.13% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.07)
Other @ 15.93% (-0.08)
Total : 65.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.34% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (+0.21)
Other @ 0.19% (+0.08)
Total : 20%
Nice
1-2 @ 4.35% (+0.25)
0-1 @ 3.98% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 1.79% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 14.23%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Oct 18, 2025 4.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Riviera
  • Youssouf Ndayishimiye 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sael Kumbedi 4'
  • goal Rayan Cherki 78'
  • goal Ernest Nuamah 83'
  • yellowcard Corentin Tolisso 90'+5'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Dec 1, 2024 4.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT Parc Olympique Lyonnais
  • Alexandre Lacazette 4' goal
  • Alexandre Lacazette 41' goal
  • Jordan Veretout 43' goal
  • Alexandre Lacazette 69' goal
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Sofiane Diop 22'
  • yellowcard Hicham Boudaoui 54'
  • yellowcard Tom Louchet 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parc Olympique Lyonnais
  • Orel Mangala 22' goal
  • yellowcard Youssouf Ndayishimiye 9'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Riviera
  • Youssouf Ndayishimiye 32' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Tagliafico 90'
  • yellowcard Duje Caleta-Car 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Skelly Alvero 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Skelly Alvero 90'+5'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Jerome Boateng 5' goal
  • Gaetan Laborde 28' goal
  • Terem Moffi 33' goal
  • goal Jeffinho 41'