Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.52% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 17.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%) , while for a Auxerre win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.