Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.