Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Lille had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.