Ligue 1
Feb 28, 2026 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Roazhon Park
  • Arnaud Nordin 27' goal
  • Ludovic Blas 73' yellowcard
  • Djaoui Cissé 73' yellowcard
  • Breel Embolo 81' yellowcard
  • Nordan Mukiele 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emersonn 46'
  • yellowcard Mario Sauer 74'
  • yellowcard Jacen Russell-Rowe 81'

Rennes vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 2.00pm
Auxerre 0 - 3 Rennes
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Esteban Lepaul

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 6.00pm
Toulouse 1 - 1 Paris FC
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Yann Gboho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

Rennes 43.46% (+0.08)
Draw 25.45%
Toulouse 31.13%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.34%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.6% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.4% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 53.09%
Under 2.5 46.91%
Over 3.5 31.44%
Under 3.5 68.56%
Over 4.5 17.7% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.3% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Rennes 32.01%
Draw 42.27%
Toulouse 25.73%

Team To Score First

Rennes 49.51%
No Goal 6.29% (+0.01)
Toulouse 44.2% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.48%
Equal 8 10.88%
Under 8 26.64%
Over 9 50.98%
Equal 9 11.5%
Under 9 37.52%
Over 10.5 39.83%
Under 10.5 60.17%

Rennes Goals

Over 1.5 43.59% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 56.41% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 19.9% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.1% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 7.06% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.94% (-0.02)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 67.04% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 32.96% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 34.02% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 65.98% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 12.65% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.35% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.9%
Under 3.5 96.1%

Score analysis

Rennes 43.45%
Draw 25.45%
Toulouse 31.13%
Rennes
1-0 @ 9.58% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.75% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-0 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 3.2%
Other @ 6.86% (+0.03)
Total : 43.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.29% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 25.45%
Toulouse
0-1 @ 7.56% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.85% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 31.13%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Oct 29, 2025 8.05pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
May 3, 2025 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Charlie Cresswell 14' yellowcard
  • Yann Gboho 28' goal
  • Carles Martinez 69' yellowcard
  • Aron Donnum 82' goal
  • Guillaume Restes 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Rouault 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Christopher Wooh 47'
  • goal Arnaud Kalimuendo 65'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Paul Audrin
  • Amine Gouiri 41' yellowcard
  • Lorenz Assignon 44' yellowcard
  • Adrien Truffert 45'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Joshua King 14'
  • goal Aron Donnum 23' (OG)
  • yellowcard Cristian Casseres Jr 48'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Roazhon Park
  • Desire Doue 20' goal
  • Amine Gouiri 60' yellowcard
  • Bertug Yildirim 88' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Salah 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Cristian Casseres Jr 22'
  • goal Moussa Diarra 32'
  • yellowcard Christian Mawissa 34'
  • yellowcard Stijn Spierings 81'
  • yellowcard Guillaume Restes 88'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Thijs Dallinga 45' yellowcard
  • Logan Costa 51' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diarra 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enzo Le Fee 6'
  • yellowcard Warmed Omari 10'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 12.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Rafael Ratao 27' goal
  • Zakaria Aboukhlal 28' goal
  • Thijs Dallinga 37' goal
  • goal Anthony Rouault 55' (OG)