Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.