Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 21, 2026 6.00pm
Stadium de Toulouse

Toulouse vs Paris FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 2.00pm
Le Havre 0 - 0 Toulouse
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Santiago Hidalgo

Paris FC

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 8.05pm
Paris FC 0 - 5 Lens
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Ilan Kebbal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toulouse win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Paris FC has a probability of 30.22% and a draw has a probability of 27.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Paris FC win is 0-1 (9.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.86%).

Result

Toulouse 42.36%
Draw 27.43%
Paris FC 30.22% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.71%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.81% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 30.19% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 44.45%
Under 2.5 55.55%
Over 3.5 22.62%
Under 3.5 77.38%
Over 4.5 11.8% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 88.2% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Toulouse 33.63%
Draw 44.22%
Paris FC 22.14%

Team To Score First

Toulouse 53.44%
No Goal 8.93%
Paris FC 37.63%

Corners

Over 8 49.51% (+0.09)
Equal 8 12.35% (-0.02)
Under 8 38.14% (-0.08)
Over 9 37.72% (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.79% (-0.02)
Under 9 50.49% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 27.39% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 72.61% (-0.10)

Toulouse Goals

Over 1.5 37.65% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.35% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 15.09%
Under 2.5 84.91%
Over 3.5 4.79%
Under 3.5 95.21%

Paris FC Goals

Over 0.5 63.37% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 36.63% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 28.63% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.37% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.53% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.47% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.54%
Under 3.5 97.46%

Score analysis

Toulouse 42.36%
Draw 27.43%
Paris FC 30.23%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 11.9% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.85%
2-0 @ 7.44%
3-0 @ 3.66%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 2.14%
Other @ 4.72%
Total : 42.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.93%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 27.43%
Paris FC
0-1 @ 9.38%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 5.04%
1-3 @ 2.47% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.55% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.23%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Dec 13, 2025 8.05pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Adama Camara 73' yellowcard
  • Otavio 88' yellowcard
  • Maxime Lopez 88' yellowcard
  • 89' yellowcard
  • Otavio 89' yellowcard
  • Otavio 90' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Hidalgo 29'
  • goal Yann Gboho 37'
  • yellowcard Dayann Methalie 45'
  • goal Yann Gboho 69'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2022 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Bafode Diakite 62' goal
  • Rhys Healey 84' goal
  • goal Julien Lopez 15'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 13
Oct 23, 2021 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Morgan Guilavogui 35' goal
  • Warren Caddy 45'+1' goal
  • Ousmane Camara 72' yellowcard
  • Gaetan Laura 78' yellowcard
  • goal Bafode Diakite 52'
  • yellowcard Bafode Diakite 84'
  • goal Rhys Healey 85'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 36
May 1, 2021 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Florian Martin 12' goal
  • Moustapha Name 22' yellowcard
  • Moustapha Name 86' goal
  • Said Arab 90'+4' goal
  • goal Vakoun Issouf Bayo 16'
  • yellowcard Bafode Diakite 26'
  • yellowcard Stijn Spierings 55'
  • yellowcard Amine Adli 78'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 18
Jan 5, 2021 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Anthony Rouault 9' yellowcard
  • Steven Moreira 15' yellowcard
  • Brecht Dejaegere 18' yellowcard
  • Anthony Rouault 32' redcard
  • Stijn Spierings 66' goal
  • yellowcard Check Oumar Diakite 13'
  • redcard Axel Bamba 56'