Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 0-1 (9.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.