Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 18.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.52%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%) , while for a Cremonese win it was 1-0 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.