Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.