Serie A
Mar 8, 2026 11.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Santiago Pierotti 22' goal
  • Nikola Stulic 38' yellowcard
  • Walid Cheddira 66' yellowcard
  • Omri Gandelman 78' yellowcard
  • Omri Gandelman 79' yellowcard
  • Gaby Jean 79' yellowcard
  • Sadik Fofana 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alessio Zerbin 46'
  • yellowcard Milan Djuric 46'
  • yellowcard Jari Vandeputte 46'
  • yellowcard Martín Payero 46'
  • goal Federico Bonazzoli 47'
  • yellowcard David Okereke 62'
  • yellowcard Antonio Sanabria 74'

Lecce vs Cremonese - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 2.00pm
Como 3 - 1 Lecce
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Lameck Banda

Cremonese

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 11.30am
Cremonese 0 - 2 AC Milan
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Jamie Vardy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Lecce 42.36% (+0.04)
Draw 27.03% (+0.02)
Cremonese 30.61% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.54% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.75% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 29.25% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 45.74% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 54.26% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 24.56% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 75.44% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 13.11% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 86.89% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Lecce 29.8%
Draw 46.09%
Cremonese 24.11%

Team To Score First

Lecce 48.67% (+0.03)
No Goal 8.47% (-0.02)
Cremonese 42.86%

Corners

Over 8 54.7% (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.81% (-0.02)
Under 8 33.48% (+0.06)
Over 9 42.98% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.72% (-0.03)
Under 9 45.3% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 32.3%
Under 10.5 67.69% (-0.02)

Lecce Goals

Over 1.5 38.75% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 61.25% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 15.64% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 84.36% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.22% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.78% (-0.04)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5 64.06% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 35.94% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 29.49% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 70.51% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 10.21% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.79% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.92%
Under 3.5 97.08%

Score analysis

Lecce 42.37%
Draw 27.03%
Cremonese 30.6%
Lecce
1-0 @ 11.48% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 7.48%
3-1 @ 3.91% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.38% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.13% (+0.04)
Total : 42.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.97% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.01)
Total : 27.03%
Cremonese
0-1 @ 9.3% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.89% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 2.83% (-0.01)
Total : 30.6%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Dec 7, 2025 11.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Federico Bonazzoli 53' goal
  • Antonio Sanabria 78' goal
  • Matteo Bianchetti 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lameck Banda 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Antonino Gallo 84'
Serie A Gameweek 21
Feb 4, 2023 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giovanni Zini
  • goal Federico Baschirotto 58'
  • goal Gabriel Espeto 69'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2022 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Gabriel Espeto 42' goal
  • goal Daniel Ciofani 19'
Serie B Gameweek 20
Jan 23, 2022 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Espeto 6' yellowcard
  • Antonino Gallo 14' goal
  • Kastriot Dermaku 52' yellowcard
  • Fabio Lucioni 58' yellowcard
  • Caleb Okoli 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Emanuele Valeri 11'
  • goal Daniel Ciofani 15'
  • yellowcard Luca Valzania 21'
  • yellowcard Luca Strizzolo 90'+4'
Serie B Gameweek 1
Aug 22, 2021 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giovanni Zini
  • Emanuele Valeri 31' yellowcard
  • Michele Castagnetti 39' yellowcard
  • Luca Valzania 51' goal
  • Cristian Buonaiuto 60' goal
  • Emanuele Valeri 65' goal
  • Luca Ravanelli 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Espeto 39'
Serie B Gameweek 23
Feb 13, 2021 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Gianluca Gaetano 7' goal
  • Luca Ravanelli 29' yellowcard
  • Luca Ravanelli 90'+2' redcard
  • goal Michele Castagnetti 30' (OG)
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 52'
  • goal Pablo Rodriguez 54'
  • yellowcard Fabio Lucioni 60'
  • yellowcard Boban Nikolov 81'