Serie A
Mar 21, 2026 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 60' yellowcard
  • Gaetano Oristanio 60' yellowcard
  • Nesta Elphege 73' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Estévez 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tommaso Barbieri 46'
  • goal Youssef Maleh 54'
  • yellowcard Jamie Vardy 67'
  • yellowcard Martín Payero 67'
  • goal Jari Vandeputte 68'
  • yellowcard Morten Thorsby 79'
  • yellowcard Francesco Folino 89'

Parma vs Cremonese - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
Torino 4 - 1 Parma
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Mateo Pellegrino

Cremonese

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2026 7.45pm
Cremonese 1 - 4 Fiorentina
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Jamie Vardy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 45.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.77% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%) , while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result

Parma 45.4% (+0.04)
Draw 27.77%
Cremonese 26.79% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.47% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.78% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 31.22% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 43.2% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 56.8% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 21.79% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 78.21% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 11.35% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 88.65% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Parma 30.88%
Draw 44.78%
Cremonese 24.34%

Team To Score First

Parma 50.38% (-0.02)
No Goal 9.51% (+0.03)
Cremonese 40.11% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.94% (-0.14)
Equal 8 11.47% (-0.02)
Under 8 31.59% (+0.15)
Over 9 45.35% (-0.09)
Equal 9 11.6% (-0.04)
Under 9 43.06% (+0.14)
Over 10.5 34.58% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 65.42% (+0.05)

Parma Goals

Over 1.5 39.58%
Under 1.5 60.42%
Over 2.5 15.96% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 84.04% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.18% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.82% (+0.01)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5 60.04% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 39.96% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 25.32% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 74.68% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 7.93% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 92.07% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.03% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.97% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Parma 45.4%
Draw 27.77%
Cremonese 26.8%
Parma
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-1 @ 9.07% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.51% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.11% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 2.02%
Other @ 5.06%
Total : 45.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.82% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.51% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.02)
Total : 27.77%
Cremonese
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 1.91% (-0.02)
Total : 26.8%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Sep 21, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie B Gameweek 37
May 5, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Botond Balogh 14' redcard
  • Dennis Man 38' yellowcard
  • Valentin Mihaila 56' goal
  • Antoine Hainaut 64' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Circati 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franco Vazquez 7'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Quagliata 18'
  • goal Franco Vazquez 25'
  • yellowcard Zan Majer 40'
  • yellowcard Charles Pickel 45'
  • redcard Charles Pickel 70'
Serie B Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2023 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giovanni Zini
  • Michele Castagnetti 64' goal
  • Franco Vazquez 74' yellowcard
  • goal Simon Sohm 4'
  • goal Hernani 54'
  • goal Dennis Man 66'
  • yellowcard Valentin Mihaila 90'+2'
Serie B Gameweek 23
Feb 15, 2022 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nicolo Fagioli 15' yellowcard
  • Jaime Baez 20' goal
  • Cedric Gondo 56' goal
  • Luca Zanimacchia 59' goal
  • yellowcard Woyo Coulibaly 16'
  • yellowcard Adrian Bernabe 35'
  • yellowcard Simon Sohm 38'
  • goal Simy 61'
  • yellowcard Juan Brunetta 78'
Serie B Gameweek 4
Sep 19, 2021 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Valentin Mihaila 69' goal
  • Franco Vazquez 72' yellowcard
  • Franco Vazquez 72' redcard
  • Valentin Mihaila 75' yellowcard
  • Daniele Iacoponi 87' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolo Fagioli 3'
  • yellowcard Matteo Bianchetti 16'
  • goal Luca Vido 34'
  • yellowcard Paolo Bartolomei 65'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Sernicola 67'
Serie B
Jan 20, 2018 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alberto Almici 11' yellowcard
  • Gaetano Castrovilli 77' yellowcard
  • Michele Cavion 89' goal
  • yellowcard Riccardo Gagliolo 35'