Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 45.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.77% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 26.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%) , while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.