Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Manchester City has a probability of 35.49% and a draw has a probability of 24.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Manchester City win is 1-2 (7.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.19%).