Premier League
Chelsea
Apr 12, 2026 4.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Man City
  • Alejandro Garnacho 67' yellowcard
  • Roméo Lavia 67' yellowcard
  • Roméo Lavia 68' yellowcard
  • Liam Delap 81' yellowcard
  • Dário Essugo 82' yellowcard
  • Josh Acheampong 88' yellowcard
  • goal Nico O'Reilly 51'
  • goal Marc Guéhi 57'
  • yellowcard Rayan Aït-Nouri 64'
  • goal Jérémy Doku 68'
  • yellowcard Phil Foden 76'
  • yellowcard Savinho 76'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic  81'

Chelsea vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 5.30pm
Everton 3 - 0 Chelsea
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Man City 0 - 0 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Phil Foden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (7.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result

Chelsea 39.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 24.65% ▲ (+0.05)
Manchester City 35.41% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.87% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.61% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 22.39% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 55% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 45% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 32.67% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 3.5 67.33% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 4.5 19.14% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 4.5 80.86% ▲ (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Chelsea 34.88%
Draw 38.57%
Manchester City 26.55%

Team To Score First

Chelsea 52.54% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 6.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Manchester City 41.35% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 51.86% ▲ (+0.12)
Equal 8 11.39%
Under 8 36.75% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 9 40.76% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 48.14% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 10.5 30.79% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 10.5 69.21% ▼ (-0.10)

Chelsea Goals

Over 1.5 41.55% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 58.45% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 18.66% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 2.5 81.34% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 7.06% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 92.94% ▲ (+0.11)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 69.55% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 30.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 37.75% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 62.25% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 15.67%
Under 2.5 84.33%
Over 3.5 5.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.82% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Chelsea 39.94%
Draw 24.64%
Manchester City 35.41%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.12)
1-0 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 39.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.64%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 7.9%
0-1 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 35.41%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 20
Man City
Jan 4, 2026 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Chelsea
  • Tijjani Reijnders 42' goal
  • Abdukodir Khusanov 51' yellowcard
  • Jérémy Doku 70' yellowcard
  • Nathan Aké 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrey Santos 46'
  • yellowcard Liam Delap 62'
  • yellowcard Jorrel Hato 62'
  • goal Enzo Fernández 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 23
Man City
Jan 25, 2025 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Etihad Stadium
Chelsea
  • Abdukodir Khusanov 4' yellowcard
  • Josko Gvardiol 42' goal
  • Erling Haaland 68' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 79' yellowcard
  • Mateo Kovacic 83' yellowcard
  • Phil Foden 87' goal
  • goal Noni Madueke 3'
  • yellowcard Levi Colwill 25'
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 58'
Premier League Gameweek 1
Chelsea
Aug 18, 2024 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Man City
  • Moises Caicedo 89' yellowcard
  • goal Erling Haaland 18'
  • yellowcard Erling Haaland 66'
  • goal Mateo Kovacic 84'
Club Friendlies 1
Man City
Aug 3, 2024 10.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Chelsea
  • Erling Haaland 4' goal
  • Erling Haaland 5' goal
  • James McAtee 41' yellowcard
  • Oscar Bobb 55' goal
  • Erling Haaland 56' goal
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 14'
  • yellowcard Malo Gusto 42'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 45'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 59'
  • goal Noni Madueke 89'
FA Cup
Man City
Apr 20, 2024 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
Chelsea
  • Julian Alvarez 58' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Silva 84' goal
  • Djordje Petrovic 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 45'
  • yellowcard Phil Foden 82'
  • yellowcard Kevin De Bruyne 86'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 86'
Premier League Gameweek 25
Man City
Feb 17, 2024 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Etihad Stadium
Chelsea
  • Rodri 83' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 35'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 42'
  • yellowcard Cole Palmer 60'
  • yellowcard Djordje Petrovic 62'

Form Data

Chelsea 7 - 0 Port Vale
Everton 3 - 0 Chelsea
Chelsea 0 - 3 PSG
Chelsea 0 - 1 Newcastle
PSG 5 - 2 Chelsea
Wrexham 2 - 4 Chelsea
Man City 4 - 0 Liverpool
Arsenal 0 - 2 Man City
Man City 0 - 0 Crystal Palace
Man City 1 - 2 Real Madrid
West Ham 1 - 1 Man City
Real Madrid 3 - 0 Man City

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