Apr 25, 2026 5.15pm

Wembley Stadium

Manchester City vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

W
W
W
W
D
L

Southampton

All competitions

W
W
W
W
W
W

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Southampton has a probability of 27.6% and a draw has a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Southampton win is 1-2 (6.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.43%).

Result

Manchester City 49.4%

Draw 23%

Southampton 27.6%

Both Teams to Score:

61%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.78%

Under 1.5 18.22%

Over 2.5 60.3%

Under 2.5 39.7%

Over 3.5 38%

Under 3.5 62%

Over 4.5 23.1%

Under 4.5 76.9%

Manchester City Goals

Over 1.5 52.2%

Under 1.5 47.8%

Over 2.5 26.57%

Under 2.5 73.43%

Over 3.5 11.07%

Under 3.5 88.93%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 65.11%

Under 0.5 34.89%

Over 1.5 33.7%

Under 1.5 66.3%

Over 2.5 13.17%

Under 2.5 86.83%

Over 3.5 4.24%

Under 3.5 95.76%

Score analysis

Manchester City 49.4%

Draw 22.99%

Southampton 27.61%

Manchester City

2-1 @ 9.47%

1-0 @ 8.01%

2-0 @ 7.27%

3-1 @ 5.74%

3-0 @ 4.38%

3-2 @ 3.74%

Other @ 10.79%

Total : 49.4%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.43%

2-2 @ 6.2%

0-0 @ 4.44%

3-3 @ 1.64%

Other @ 0.28%

Total : 22.99%

Southampton

1-2 @ 6.82%

0-1 @ 5.77%

0-2 @ 3.77%

1-3 @ 2.97%

2-3 @ 2.69%

0-3 @ 1.63%

Other @ 3.96%

Total : 27.61%

Head to Head

May 10, 2025 3.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT St. Mary's Stadium

Lesley Ugochukwu 43'
Flynn Downes 56'

Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 2 0

FT Etihad Stadium

Erling Haaland 5'
Erling Haaland 5'
Mateo Kovacic 88'

Flynn Downes 42'
Flynn Downes 42'
Russell Martin 43'
Russell Martin 43'
Adam Armstrong 48'
Adam Armstrong 48'
Adam Lallana 56'
Adam Lallana 56'

Apr 8, 2023 5.30pm

1

4

HT : 0 1

FT

Sekou Mara 72'

Erling Braut Haaland 45'
Jack Grealish 58'
Erling Braut Haaland 68'
Julian Alvarez 75'

Jan 11, 2023 8.00pm

2

0

HT : 2 0

FT St. Mary's Stadium

Sekou Mara 23'
Moussa Djenepo 28'

Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm

4

0

HT : 2 0

FT

Joao Cancelo 20'
Phil Foden 32'
Riyad Mahrez 49'
Erling Braut Haaland 65'

Mar 20, 2022 3.00pm

1

4

HT : 1 1

FT St. Mary's Stadium

Aymeric Laporte 45'+2'

Raheem Sterling 12'
Kevin De Bruyne 62'
Zack Steffen 71'
Phil Foden 75'
Riyad Mahrez 78'

Form Data

Man City 2 - 1 Arsenal

Chelsea 0 - 3 Man City

Man City 4 - 0 Liverpool

Arsenal 0 - 2 Man City

Man City 0 - 0 Crystal Palace

Man City 1 - 2 Real Madrid

Swansea 1 - 2 Southampton

Southampton 3 - 0 Blackburn

Southampton 2 - 1 Derby

Wrexham 1 - 5 Southampton

Southampton 2 - 1 Arsenal

Southampton 2 - 0 Oxford Utd