Championship Gameweek 45
Apr 14, 2026 8.00pm
St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton vs Blackburn Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Apr 7, 2026 8.00pm
Wrexham 1 - 5 Southampton
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Finn Azaz

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Blackburn 0 - 0 West Brom
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Yuki Ohashi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 52.69%. A draw has a probability of 24.11% and a win for Blackburn Rovers has a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.06%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.42%) , while for a Blackburn Rovers win it is 0-1 (6.46%).

Result

Southampton 52.69% (-0.08)
Draw 24.11% (+0.04)
Blackburn Rovers 23.2% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.13%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.04% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 23.96% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 52.54% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.46% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 30.32% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 69.68% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.67% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 82.33% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Southampton 37.52% (-0.03)
Draw 42.67% (+0.03)
Blackburn Rovers 19.82% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Southampton 57% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.4% (+0.03)
Blackburn Rovers 36.6% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 69.8% (-0.11)
Equal 8 9.99% (+0.02)
Under 8 20.21% (+0.09)
Over 9 58.53% (-0.12)
Equal 9 11.27% (+0.02)
Under 9 30.2% (+0.10)
Over 10.5 46.95% (-0.12)
Under 10.5 53.05% (+0.12)

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 49.76% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 50.24% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 24.01% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 75.99% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 9.41% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 90.59% (+0.03)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 59.54% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 40.46% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 26.15% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 73.85% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 8.57% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 91.43% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 2.27% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.73% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Southampton 52.68%
Draw 24.11%
Blackburn Rovers 23.2%
Southampton
1-0 @ 11.09% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 10.06% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.73% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.45% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.93% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 9.3% (-0.03)
Total : 52.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 6.4% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.08% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.11% (+0.01)
Total : 24.11%
Blackburn Rovers
0-1 @ 6.46% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.03% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.35% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 23.2%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ewood Park
  • Tyrhys Dolan 59' yellowcard
  • Joe Rankin-Costello 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Che Adams 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Brooks 62'
  • yellowcard Harry Pickering 89'
Championship Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Flynn Downes 37' yellowcard
  • Samuel Edozie 44' goal
  • Stuart Armstrong 64' goal
  • William Smallbone 67' yellowcard
  • Joe Aribo 76' yellowcard
  • Sekou Mara 90'+7' goal
  • Carlos Alcaraz 90'+9' goal
  • yellowcard Callum Brittain 26'
  • redcard Callum Brittain 55'
  • yellowcard Sammie Szmodics 67'
  • yellowcard Hayden Carter 90'+10'
Premier League
Apr 9, 2005 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Morten Gamst Pedersen 11' goal
  • Andreas Jakobsson 48' goal
  • Brett Emerton 50' yellowcard
  • Steven Reid 55' goal
  • Steven Reid 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Henri Camara 30'
Premier League
Aug 21, 2004 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kevin Phillips 32' goal
  • Anders Svensson 74' goal
  • James Beattie 90' goal
  • goal Barry Ferguson 50'
  • yellowcard Barry Ferguson 82'
  • yellowcard Nils-Eric Johansson 90'
Premier League
Feb 28, 2004 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Andy Cole 52' goal
  • Markus Babbel 65' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Phillips 5'
  • yellowcard Jason Dodd 90'