Championship Gameweek 45
Apr 14, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Cyle Larin 24' goal
  • Ryan Manning 43' goal
  • Nathan Wood 46' yellowcard
  • Flynn Downes 71' yellowcard
  • Leo Scienza 71' yellowcard
  • Welington 71' yellowcard
  • Flynn Downes 72' yellowcard
  • Leo Scienza 72' yellowcard
  • Welington 72' yellowcard
  • Cameron Archer 86' goal
  • Jay Robinson 87' yellowcard
  • Jay Robinson 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yuki Ohashi 46'
  • yellowcard Ryoya Morishita 46'
  • yellowcard Ryan Hedges 73'
  • yellowcard Oladapo Afolayan 73'
  • yellowcard Eiran Cashin 78'

Southampton vs Blackburn Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Southampton 2 - 1 Derby
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Finn Azaz

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Stoke 1 - 1 Blackburn
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Yuki Ohashi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.46% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 22.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.14%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%) , while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

Southampton 52.96% (+0.04)
Draw 24.46%
Blackburn Rovers 22.58% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.17% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.73% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 25.27% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 50.42% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 49.58% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 28.27% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 71.73% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 16.01% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 83.99% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Southampton 37.21%
Draw 42.44%
Blackburn Rovers 20.35%

Team To Score First

Southampton 56.6% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.92% (+0.02)
Blackburn Rovers 36.48% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 68.85%
Equal 8 10.11%
Under 8 21.03%
Over 9 57.56%
Equal 9 11.3%
Under 9 31.15%
Over 10.5 46.04%
Under 10.5 53.96%

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 48.79% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 51.21% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 22.74% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.26% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.54% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 91.46% (+0.02)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 58.49% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 41.51% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 24.75% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 75.25% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 7.76% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 92.24% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.99% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.01% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Southampton 52.96%
Draw 24.47%
Blackburn Rovers 22.57%
Southampton
1-0 @ 11.75% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 10.14%
2-0 @ 9.33% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.32%
3-0 @ 5.04% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91%
Other @ 8.47% (-0.02)
Total : 52.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.68%
0-0 @ 6.92% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 24.47%
Blackburn Rovers
0-1 @ 6.6%
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.92% (-0.02)
Total : 22.57%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ewood Park
  • Tyrhys Dolan 59' yellowcard
  • Joe Rankin-Costello 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Che Adams 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Brooks 62'
  • yellowcard Harry Pickering 89'
Championship Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Flynn Downes 37' yellowcard
  • Samuel Edozie 44' goal
  • Stuart Armstrong 64' goal
  • William Smallbone 67' yellowcard
  • Joe Aribo 76' yellowcard
  • Sekou Mara 90'+7' goal
  • Carlos Alcaraz 90'+9' goal
  • yellowcard Callum Brittain 26'
  • redcard Callum Brittain 55'
  • yellowcard Sammie Szmodics 67'
  • yellowcard Hayden Carter 90'+10'
Premier League
Apr 9, 2005 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Morten Gamst Pedersen 11' goal
  • Andreas Jakobsson 48' goal
  • Brett Emerton 50' yellowcard
  • Steven Reid 55' goal
  • Steven Reid 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Henri Camara 30'
Premier League
Aug 21, 2004 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kevin Phillips 32' goal
  • Anders Svensson 74' goal
  • James Beattie 90' goal
  • goal Barry Ferguson 50'
  • yellowcard Barry Ferguson 82'
  • yellowcard Nils-Eric Johansson 90'
Premier League
Feb 28, 2004 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Andy Cole 52' goal
  • Markus Babbel 65' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Phillips 5'
  • yellowcard Jason Dodd 90'