Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.46% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.14%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%) , while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.