Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham City vs Blackburn Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 12.30pm
Derby 1 - 0 Birmingham
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Marvin Ducksch

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 12.30pm
Blackburn 0 - 0 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Yuki Ohashi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw has a probability of 25% and a win for Blackburn Rovers has a probability of 19.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.77%) , while for a Blackburn Rovers win it is 0-1 (6.73%).

Result

Birmingham City 55.01% (+0.04)
Draw 25%
Blackburn Rovers 19.99%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.41% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.42% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 27.58% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 47.54% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 52.46% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 25.59%
Under 3.5 74.41%
Over 4.5 14.44% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.56% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Birmingham City 37.97%
Draw 42.15%
Blackburn Rovers 19.88%

Team To Score First

Birmingham City 58.01% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.85% (+0.01)
Blackburn Rovers 34.14%

Corners

Over 8 64.02%
Equal 8 11.02%
Under 8 24.96%
Over 9 52.19%
Equal 9 11.83%
Under 9 35.98%
Over 10.5 40.6%
Under 10.5 59.4%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 1.5 48.69% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 51.31% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 22.64% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 77.36% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.48% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.52% (+0.01)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 54.92% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 45.08% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 21.18% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 78.82% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 6.04% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 93.96% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 1.41% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.59% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Birmingham City 55%
Draw 24.99%
Blackburn Rovers 19.99%
Birmingham City
1-0 @ 12.98% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.21% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 10.09% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.65%
3-1 @ 5.15%
3-2 @ 2.55% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.37%
Total : 55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.85% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.01)
Total : 24.99%
Blackburn Rovers
0-1 @ 6.73% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.23% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.91% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.53%
2-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 19.99%

Head to Head

Championship
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Ethan Laird 64' yellowcard
  • Andre Dozzell 77' goal
  • Siriki Dembele 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Garrett 49'
  • yellowcard Dominic Hyam 52'
  • yellowcard Sondre Tronstad 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 18
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT Ewood Park
  • Sondre Tronstad 31' yellowcard
  • Lewis Travis 33' yellowcard
  • Sammie Szmodics 47' goal
  • Sammie Szmodics 52' goal
  • James Hill 59' goal
  • Adam Wharton 80' yellowcard
  • Harry Leonard 87' yellowcard
  • Harry Leonard 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Emanuel Aiwu 28'
  • yellowcard Krystian Bielik 35'
  • goal Siriki Dembele 63'
  • goal Siriki Dembele 78'
Championship Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Reda Khadra 61' goal
FA Cup
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
ET St. Andrew's Stadium
  • goal Auston Trusty 100' (OG)
FA Cup
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Ewood Park
  • Bradley Dack 33' goal
  • Joe Rankin-Costello 46' goal
  • goal Reda Khadra 3'