Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.