Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Bet365 Stadium

Stoke City vs Blackburn Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Derby 2 - 0 Stoke
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Sorba Thomas

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Blackburn 0 - 0 West Brom
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Yuki Ohashi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Blackburn Rovers has a probability of 31.13% and a draw has a probability of 26.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win is 0-1 (7.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12%).

Result

Stoke City 42.78% (-0.04)
Draw 26.05%
Blackburn Rovers 31.13%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.2% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.14% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 24.86% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 51.63% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 48.37% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 29.88% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 70.12% (+0.14)
Over 4.5 17.07% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 82.93% (+0.12)

First Half Winner

Stoke City 33.09%
Draw 45.23%
Blackburn Rovers 21.68%

Team To Score First

Stoke City 52.22%
No Goal 6.96%
Blackburn Rovers 40.82%

Corners

Over 8 67.36% (+0.02)
Equal 8 10.6%
Under 8 22.04% (-0.02)
Over 9 55.64% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.72%
Under 9 32.64% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 43.86%
Under 10.5 56.14%

Stoke City Goals

Over 1.5 42.23% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 57.77% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 18.37% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 81.63% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.58% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.42% (+0.05)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 66.33% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 33.67% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 33.22% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 66.78% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.78% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 87.22% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.12% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.88% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Stoke City 42.77%
Draw 26.04%
Blackburn Rovers 31.13%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 10% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.03% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.89%
3-1 @ 4.24% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.37% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.39% (-0.04)
Total : 42.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.96%
2-2 @ 5.56%
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19% (-0.02)
Total : 26.04%
Blackburn Rovers
0-1 @ 7.84%
1-2 @ 7.4% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.63%
1-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.95% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.93% (-0.03)
Total : 31.13%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 4, 2025 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Ali Al-Hamadi 19' goal
  • Sam Gallagher 82' yellowcard
  • Jordan Thompson 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Makhtar Gueye 46'
  • yellowcard Lewis Travis 78'
Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Ewood Park
  • Tyrhys Dolan 77' yellowcard
  • goal Million Manhoef 57'
  • yellowcard Wouter Burger 67'
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 79'
  • goal Tom Cannon 85'
Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Ewood Park
  • Tyrhys Dolan 7' goal
  • Sammie Szmodics 19' goal
  • Tyrhys Dolan 37' goal
  • yellowcard Luke McNally 29'
  • goal Niall Ennis 39'
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 54'
Championship Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Jordan Thompson 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ben Pearson 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Scott Wharton 4'
  • yellowcard Tyrhys Dolan 45'+1'
  • goal Andy Moran 86'
  • goal Sammie Szmodics 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 10, 2023 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Ki-Jana Hoever 24' goal
  • Ki-Jana Hoever 43' goal
  • Tyrese Campbell 75' goal
  • goal Ben Brereton Diaz 86'
  • goal Sam Gallagher 90'