Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Watford has a probability of 33.23% and a draw has a probability of 28.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Watford win is 0-1 (10.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.48%).