Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea City vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Ipswich 3 - 0 Swansea
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Zan Vipotnik

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Coventry 2 - 1 Stoke
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Sorba Thomas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swansea City win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw has a probability of 26.28% and a win for Stoke City has a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win is 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.2%) , while for a Stoke City win it is 0-1 (7.78%).

Result

Swansea City 52.35%
Draw 26.28%
Stoke City 21.36%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.41%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.08%
Under 1.5 30.92%
Over 2.5 43.55%
Under 2.5 56.45%
Over 3.5 22.24%
Under 3.5 77.76%
Over 4.5 11.96%
Under 4.5 88.04%

First Half Winner

Swansea City 36.23%
Draw 44.06%
Stoke City 19.71%

Team To Score First

Swansea City 56.81%
No Goal 9.17%
Stoke City 34.02%

Corners

Over 8 58.09%
Equal 8 11.72%
Under 8 30.19%
Over 9 46.12%
Equal 9 11.98%
Under 9 41.91%
Over 10.5 34.92%
Under 10.5 65.08%

Swansea City Goals

Over 1.5 44.49%
Under 1.5 55.51%
Over 2.5 19.21%
Under 2.5 80.79%
Over 3.5 6.6%
Under 3.5 93.4%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 55.17%
Under 0.5 44.83%
Over 1.5 20.77%
Under 1.5 79.23%
Over 2.5 5.72%
Under 2.5 94.28%
Over 3.5 1.29%
Under 3.5 98.71%

Score analysis

Swansea City 52.36%
Draw 26.29%
Stoke City 21.38%
Swansea City
1-0 @ 14%
2-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 5.09%
3-1 @ 4.6%
3-2 @ 2.25%
Other @ 6.54%
Total : 52.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 9.17%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 26.29%
Stoke City
0-1 @ 7.78%
1-2 @ 5.37%
0-2 @ 3.24%
1-3 @ 1.51%
2-3 @ 1.21%
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 21.38%

Head to Head

Championship
Dec 13, 2025 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sorba Thomas 27' yellowcard
  • Ben Pearson 42' goal
  • Ben Pearson 44' yellowcard
  • Sorba Thomas 60' goal
  • Junior Tchamadeu 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 17'
  • yellowcard Marko Stamenic 53'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Franco 55'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Franco 57'
  • goal Zan Vipotnik 77'
  • yellowcard Melker Widell 90'+2'
Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Ben Pearson 41' yellowcard
  • Wouter Burger 64' goal
  • Joon-Ho Bae 73' goal
  • Lewis Baker 78' yellowcard
  • Andy Moran 85' yellowcard
  • Andy Moran 85' yellowcard
  • Lewis Baker 90'+3' goal
  • goal Josh Tymon 61'
  • yellowcard Ben Cabango 63'
Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • yellowcard Wouter Burger 14'
  • yellowcard Andy Moran 63'
  • yellowcard Ben Wilmot 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Ben Gibson 90'+10'
Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 10, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Liam Cullen 19' goal
  • Jamie Paterson 43' yellowcard
  • Matt Grimes 53' goal
  • Harry Darling 61' yellowcard
  • Liam Cullen 67' yellowcard
  • Josh Key 73' goal
  • yellowcard Enda Stevens 38'
  • yellowcard Million Manhoef 61'
  • yellowcard Jordan Thompson 90'
Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Josh Laurent 38' yellowcard
  • Lynden Gooch 42' yellowcard
  • Daniel Johnson 70' goal
  • Ben Pearson 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Cabango 41'
  • yellowcard Yannick Bolasie 84'
  • goal Harry Darling 89'
Championship Gameweek 29
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Morgan Whittaker 2' goal
  • goal Josh Laurent 15'
  • goal Josh Laurent 20'
  • goal Lewis Baker 90'+4'